NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	2.9 [1200]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +18.0%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.1 [884]		LVP	Kevin Martin (SAC): -4.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.01	0.00	12	79%	0.19	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	16	67%	0.10	4	-0.05	13	77%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Earl Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Grant Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.15	-0.00	0.14	20	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	71%	0.02	4	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	27%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	1.7	36.3	16.4	32.5	2.5	28.2	147.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.4%

PHX +4.5%

PHX +7.7%

PHX +0.7%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.3	120.0	110.9	106.0
season	14.4	15.2		113.5	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	15.9	15.1	20.0	15.9
SAC	17.9	14.7	14.3	12.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	73	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.18	23	-11	34	15.7	16.5	-0.87	15.8	12.0	3.89
Steve Nash	62	59	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.28	26	-14	40	15.6	16.4	-0.80	16.3	12.5	3.83
Jason Richardson	68	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	12	-12	16.3	14.9	1.38	15.1	14.4	0.66
Grant Hill	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-1	14	15.7	16.2	-0.52	15.4	14.1	1.34
Robin Lopez	36	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	4	4	15.2	16.3	-1.05	16.3	14.1	2.26
Jared Dudley	47	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	13	-14	15.0	16.7	-1.64	13.9	15.9	-1.96
Goran Dragic	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	14	-16	16.7	15.0	1.74	13.3	16.7	-3.39
Channing Frye	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	16	-20	16.5	15.3	1.21	14.0	15.7	-1.64
Lou Amundson	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	9	-6	16.1	15.7	0.38	14.4	15.2	-0.84
Earl Clark	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.17	-6	18	-24	16.1	15.9	0.29	5.0	15.6	-10.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ime Udoka	2	1	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-14	16	30.0	14.6	15.42	20.0	15.8	4.17
Sean May	22	22	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-18	24	13.5	15.3	-1.80	17.4	15.4	2.00
Jon Brockman	42	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-20	28	13.9	15.8	-1.86	18.5	13.9	4.64
Sergio Rodriguez	38	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.40	10	-22	32	12.2	16.8	-4.60	16.4	15.5	1.00
Hilton Armstrong	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-15	18	12.2	15.9	-3.72	17.2	15.4	1.85
Andres Nocioni	10	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-6	0	16.1	14.8	1.33	14.5	16.1	-1.57
Beno Udrih	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-11	10	13.4	16.2	-2.85	17.4	14.6	2.82
Tyreke Evans	52	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	5	-22	16.8	12.4	4.36	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Spencer Hawes	40	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.28	-22	10	-32	16.6	13.6	3.03	13.9	17.5	-3.59
Omri Casspi	68	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-9	6	15.1	14.3	0.78	16.4	14.4	2.00
Donte Greene	69	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-3	-6	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.8	19.2	-4.35
Kevin Martin	50	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.42	-31	19	-50	16.3	13.2	3.13	14.0	18.4	-4.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 89, NYK 58	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
BOS 114, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SEA 114, LAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%