NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	114		Excitement	2.7 [1242]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): +9.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	1.1 [599]		LVP	Boniface N'Dong (LAC): -4.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	9	62%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	15	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nick Collison	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	9	86%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	2	100%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	33%	0.00	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	45%	-0.00	2	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Noel Felix	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	3	12%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	9	82%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	13	63%	0.09	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	67%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	12	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
James Singleton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Boniface N'Dong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	32.4	16.5	28.6	2.5	29.2	135.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +34.4%

SEA +6.4%

SEA +0.8%

SEA +9.0%

LAC -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	16.3	15.6	120.0	101.0	104.4
season	15.0	15.2		108.9	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.1	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	11.4	13.7	15.0	14.8	13.7
LAC	15.7	17.6	15.0	17.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	48	48	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.47	31	-15	46	13.0	14.3	-1.23	17.7	15.0	2.67
Chris Wilcox	66	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.17	18	-2	20	13.6	13.7	-0.05	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Ray Allen	59	60	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	2	12	13.3	14.3	-1.05	17.2	14.8	2.40
Luke Ridnour	56	57	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.18	17	-1	18	13.4	14.0	-0.55	15.7	17.1	-1.41
Earl Watson	50	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	6	4	13.9	13.4	0.44	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Rashard Lewis	58	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.21	18	-2	20	13.4	14.0	-0.52	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Damien Wilkins	37	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.24	-2	18	-20	14.0	13.4	0.52	16.9	16.0	0.90
Mikki Moore	18	19	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.17	11	5	6	12.7	13.9	-1.22	17.3	16.1	1.17
Johan Petro	45	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.49	-15	31	-46	14.0	13.4	0.58	15.3	17.3	-2.06
Noel Felix	16	17	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.36	-12	28	-40	15.8	13.2	2.60	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Mike Wilks	25	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	25	-34	14.7	13.3	1.39	16.9	16.1	0.79

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yaroslav Korolev	20	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-23	30	17.5	16.0	1.49	14.8	13.4	1.46
Walter McCarty	27	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.39	13	-29	42	15.9	16.5	-0.65	14.8	13.2	1.59
Boniface N'Dong	36	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-12	8	17.5	15.6	1.83	12.9	14.1	-1.25
Quinton Ross	29	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-14	12	15.3	16.7	-1.44	13.2	13.8	-0.57
Vin Baker	32	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-23	30	16.0	16.5	-0.52	14.4	13.3	1.04
Daniel Ewing	37	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-23	30	16.9	16.0	0.93	14.5	13.1	1.36
James Singleton	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-15	14	16.2	16.5	-0.28	14.7	12.7	1.97
Zeljko Rebraca	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.37	-23	7	-30	16.1	16.5	-0.40	13.6	13.7	-0.14
Sam Cassell	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.30	-21	5	-26	15.9	16.8	-0.96	12.9	14.5	-1.58
Elton Brand	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	0	-16	15.7	17.2	-1.54	12.9	14.8	-1.85
Vladimir Radmanovic	42	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.39	-26	10	-36	16.9	15.9	0.95	13.3	13.9	-0.60
Shaun Livingston	59	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.21	-21	5	-26	16.7	15.8	0.87	13.4	14.1	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
PHX 114, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
BOS 114, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%