inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 109 Excitement9.4 [77] MVPSpencer Hawes (SAC): +41.5%
Denver Nuggets 112 Comeback18.1 [272] LVPBeno Udrih (SAC): -29.4%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Spencer Hawes0.420,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.42,0.420.070.34-0.011861%0.472-0.052100%0.01
Andres Nocioni0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.090.030.00592%0.161-0.042100%0.03
Omri Casspi0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.03-0.01587%0.162-0.046100%0.08
Jon Brockman0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.010.00679%0.081-0.04250%-0.01
Ime Udoka0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Donte Greene0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.01570%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Sean May0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Thompson-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.02-0.03540%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Sergio Rodriguez-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.12-0.10-0.021136%-0.104-0.1000%0.00
Kevin Martin-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.16,-0.20.03-0.24-0.011749%-0.011-0.191191%0.04
Beno Udrih-0.290,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.12-0.19-0.02937%-0.095-0.201100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.260.260.030.230.00760%0.311-0.04667%0.01
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.100.170.021563%0.302-0.05850%-0.05
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.070.06-0.001068%0.161-0.032100%0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.020.00479%0.101-0.02683%0.02
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.000.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.011058%0.132-0.14450%-0.03
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.01-0.011333%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Joey Graham0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.09-0.16-0.022539%-0.202-0.04989%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.532.316.524.71.836.52.416.2159.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +10.8%
SAC -8.6%
SAC -0.4%
DEN +38.5%
DEN +9.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game15.414.915.3103.8106.7106.0
season15.214.4103.7110.3
opponent15.515.0106.4108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAC14.315.516.214.917.615.4
DEN15.714.514.415.114.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andres Nocioni45460.35-0.851.19-0.2119-224115.015.7-0.6414.715.1-0.40
Sergio Rodriguez49490.00-0.500.50-0.176-91515.215.6-0.3114.415.2-0.80
Ime Udoka850.00-0.500.500.15-52-714.215.5-1.2615.014.90.13
Sean May43-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-3313.715.5-1.7316.714.81.84
Donte Greene4747-0.09-0.410.310.08-63-915.415.4-0.0115.414.41.03
Omri Casspi5756-0.20-0.300.09-0.262-5715.815.00.7514.515.3-0.81
Jon Brockman4543-0.21-0.290.090.06-96-1515.915.10.8014.315.3-0.97
Jason Thompson3737-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-52-715.415.4-0.0915.514.50.94
Kevin Martin9394-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.452-5715.514.80.6514.815.5-0.75
Beno Udrih6264-0.620.12-0.75-0.39-85-1315.115.9-0.8415.214.30.88
Spencer Hawes7881-0.960.46-1.42-0.64-118-1915.614.80.8515.014.60.38

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Arron Afflalo64650.71-0.210.920.3911-81914.615.3-0.7215.814.71.07
J.R. Smith66660.71-0.210.920.4210-71714.715.1-0.3615.215.8-0.57
Chris Andersen37390.70-0.200.910.1519-163513.415.7-2.2314.416.0-1.55
Ty Lawson55560.340.160.180.195-2714.515.3-0.7714.716.2-1.49
Kenyon Martin88880.320.180.150.3012-115.411.93.5015.614.41.26
Chauncey Billups79770.070.43-0.360.22-58-1315.313.51.8815.515.20.27
Nene8583-0.020.52-0.540.39-1417-3114.914.70.2215.714.51.15
Joey Graham1716-0.130.63-0.770.07-710-1716.914.52.4614.915.5-0.56
Anthony Carter3435-0.210.71-0.91-0.06-58-1314.115.2-1.0816.215.01.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.84,0.68,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 108, PHX 1110.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.84,0.89,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.68,0.84,188.0%
GSW 130, MIN 1310.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.76,0.63,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.8,0.84,0.95,0.95,0.54,0.55,0.9,0.94,0.98,187.2%
NYK 103, MIN 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.51,0.67,0.47,0.64,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.97,0.98,1,187.0%