NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Excitement	9.2 [101]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +25.6%
Miami Heat	91		Comeback	5.3 [217]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -41.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.26	0.00	0.24	-0.01	23	51%	0.35	4	-0.09	17	71%	0.15
Daniel Gibson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	10	68%	0.23	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	8	68%	0.20	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Jawad Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.00	4	37%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.04	0.02	13	63%	0.12	4	-0.09	4	25%	-0.06
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	-0.03	10	45%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	14	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	55%	0.14	4	-0.13	5	80%	-0.07
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.07
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.41	-0.41	0.09	-0.49	0.02	21	55%	-0.27	2	-0.14	16	56%	-0.25

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.6	39.4	16.0	23.3	2.6	37.6	151.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA -8.1%

CLE +69.1%

MIA -18.9%

CLE +2.6%

CLE +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIA	NBA	CLE	MIA	NBA
this game	17.2	15.7	15.3	105.7	103.4	106.0
season	16.1	16.2		109.5	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.0		102.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	19.0	15.6	17.7	16.6	17.2
MIA	13.7	16.4	16.6	16.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	70	69	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.55	11	-10	21	17.3	16.9	0.42	16.0	14.6	1.44
Anderson Varejao	64	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-11	23	17.2	17.2	0.06	16.2	14.2	2.00
LeBron James	71	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	16.8	19.1	-2.34	15.2	18.3	-3.07
Jawad Williams	42	42	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	1	-1	16.0	18.3	-2.26	15.5	15.9	-0.48
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	31	30	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.08	13	-12	25	15.4	18.2	-2.79	15.8	15.7	0.14
Daniel Gibson	71	74	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	4	-7	18.3	12.6	5.71	15.9	14.4	1.52
Jamario Moon	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.34	-8	9	-17	15.8	17.5	-1.61	11.8	16.4	-4.66
Shaquille O'Neal	48	49	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	5	-9	17.9	16.4	1.42	16.8	14.4	2.37
JJ Hickson	25	24	-0.43	0.94	-1.37	0.06	-17	18	-35	18.9	16.5	2.33	14.6	16.1	-1.54

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	33	32	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.25	-1	0	-1	16.0	15.5	0.52	17.5	17.1	0.40
Mario Chalmers	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.00	-1	0	-1	17.4	15.5	1.94	22.2	16.7	5.54
Michael Beasley	47	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	8	-17	16.8	14.4	2.42	18.8	15.3	3.51
Dorell Wright	33	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	8	-17	17.0	14.9	2.12	17.1	17.3	-0.14
Quentin Richardson	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.61	9	-10	19	15.4	16.7	-1.33	16.9	18.4	-1.53
Udonis Haslem	55	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-6	11	15.4	16.2	-0.81	16.6	18.2	-1.60
Dwyane Wade	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.50	2	-3	5	15.2	18.3	-3.07	16.6	20.1	-3.44
Rafer Alston	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	0	-1	15.1	17.5	-2.39	17.0	17.9	-0.93
Jermaine O'Neal	55	55	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.73	0	-1	1	15.5	16.0	-0.52	17.1	17.5	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.63,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 101, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.48,0.15,0.27,0	91.2%
WAS 89, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.62,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.22,0.59,0	89.7%
MIL 83, ATL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.42,0	89.3%