NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	8.8 [145]		MVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): +18.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Comeback	13.7 [65]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -22.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marreese Speights	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.03	8	61%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.05	0.02	9	73%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	7	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Lou Williams	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	11	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	12	61%	0.22	4	-0.25	4	75%	-0.09
Rodney Carney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	7	64%	0.05	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	0.00	-0.01	12	39%	-0.03	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.15	0.02	19	56%	0.25	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	0.00	3	90%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	69%	0.18	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.02	0.11	-0.01	14	45%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	0.01	9	32%	-0.17	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	26.8	16.0	24.0	2.4	33.3	2.6	14.2	145.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -0.6%

MIN +13.5%

MIN +25.5%

MIN +7.4%

MIN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	14.9	16.5	15.3	101.0	106.9	106.0
season	15.1	14.7		104.2	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.8		109.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	12.8	13.7	17.2	16.8	14.0	14.9
MIN	15.5	17.0	13.5	20.2	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	22	22	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-12	19	13.9	15.1	-1.24	16.0	16.6	-0.58
Rodney Carney	19	19	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-9	13	14.9	14.9	0.02	17.4	16.2	1.12
Marreese Speights	38	36	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.06	-1	-4	3	13.3	15.8	-2.54	14.8	17.4	-2.61
Lou Williams	54	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	14.5	15.3	-0.81	15.4	17.6	-2.27
Thaddeus Young	55	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-3	1	15.3	14.4	0.97	16.9	15.8	1.09
Elton Brand	52	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	1	-7	14.8	14.9	-0.11	16.4	16.5	-0.05
Allen Iverson	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	1	-7	15.9	13.0	2.91	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Willie Green	59	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	14.7	15.1	-0.36	17.7	14.8	2.94
Samuel Dalembert	64	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.41	-4	-1	-3	15.8	13.3	2.54	17.4	14.8	2.61
Andre Iguodala	82	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	14.4	16.8	-2.45	16.0	18.0	-1.95

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	73	71	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.39	14	-9	23	16.8	15.6	1.17	15.6	13.2	2.43
Jonny Flynn	80	80	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-7	19	16.5	16.1	0.39	15.7	11.8	3.96
Corey Brewer	67	67	0.69	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-6	17	16.5	16.4	0.15	16.2	12.4	3.78
Al Jefferson	84	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	17.1	13.1	4.08	15.6	11.3	4.31
Ryan Gomes	67	67	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	-1	7	16.2	17.0	-0.82	15.2	14.3	0.95
Brian Cardinal	23	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	4	-3	17.5	16.2	1.32	13.8	15.2	-1.43
Nathan Jawai	11	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	3	-1	13.3	16.8	-3.57	12.5	15.2	-2.72
Ryan Hollins	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	8	-11	16.2	16.5	-0.35	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Oleksiy Pecherov	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	12.2	16.7	-4.48	8.2	15.2	-7.03
Ramon Sessions	21	22	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	12	-19	16.1	16.5	-0.39	11.8	15.7	-3.96
Sasha Pavlovic	18	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.08	-10	15	-25	16.6	16.4	0.12	10.5	15.9	-5.42
Wayne Ellington	43	45	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	10	-15	15.7	17.0	-1.28	13.7	15.8	-2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.54,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 96, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	88.7%
GSW 98, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.39,0.54,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.95,1	88.0%
ATL 101, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.4,0.6,0.55,0.33,0.55,0.95,0.54,0.75,0.85,0.55,0.97,1	87.8%