inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 88 Excitement4.0 [1001] MVPChris Bosh (TOR): +14.9%
Toronto Raptors 110 Comeback1.6 [586] LVPJosh Howard (DAL): -8.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.031258%0.091-0.01250%-0.01
Jason Terry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.021556%0.041-0.022100%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.021556%0.031-0.02425%-0.05
Jason Kidd0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03867%0.062-0.052100%0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.04425%0.0100.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01350%0.0000.00475%0.01
Quinton Ross0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Carroll0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04383%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
James Singleton-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jose Juan Barea-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0230%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Josh Howard-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.031231%-0.062-0.022100%0.01

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.100.04-0.011855%0.1500.00683%0.02
Jarrett Jack0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.000.01865%0.0700.001100%0.01
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.034100%0.0600.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.02-0.02944%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.00-0.011258%0.061-0.032100%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.010.081759%0.061-0.03333%-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.02-0.05935%0.051-0.02560%0.01
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.02-0.000.02953%0.011-0.0110%0.00
Marcus Banks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Patrick O'Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Sonny Weems0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00425%-0.0510.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.826.116.528.52.429.6127.7
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +24.0%
TOR +9.9%
TOR +0.2%
TOR +12.8%
TOR +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALTORNBADALTORNBA
this game16.315.915.398.9122.2106.0
season15.215.0107.2109.6
opponent15.515.5111.5104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.117.315.716.016.3
TOR13.415.417.018.315.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quinton Ross880.00-0.500.50-0.031-232418.516.12.4414.216.1-1.81
Matt Carroll880.00-0.500.50-0.031-232418.516.12.4414.216.1-1.81
Rodrigue Beaubois1717-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-242616.416.20.1615.915.9-0.02
Erick Dampier3941-0.14-0.350.21-0.06-3-191616.316.30.0515.716.1-0.35
Shawn Marion6565-0.15-0.350.190.11-9-13415.717.7-2.0116.813.73.07
James Singleton1919-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-161019.115.53.5913.516.5-3.08
Jose Juan Barea2120-0.19-0.310.130.05-8-14618.915.53.4313.816.5-2.64
Jason Kidd5961-0.29-0.21-0.090.15-15-7-815.617.6-1.9916.414.91.43
Dirk Nowitzki6668-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-8-615.817.7-1.9116.513.92.64
Drew Gooden2928-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-13-9-416.416.20.2514.416.6-2.19
Josh Howard5860-0.40-0.10-0.290.25-220-2216.016.8-0.8116.115.40.75
Jason Terry5655-0.50-0.00-0.500.20-242-2615.817.2-1.3816.315.31.01

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon43430.56-0.060.62-0.3832-104216.815.11.7115.117.4-2.34
Antoine Wright44440.55-0.050.60-0.2728-63417.014.82.2015.517.0-1.45
Chris Bosh65640.360.140.230.13814-615.916.0-0.1416.615.51.11
Amir Johnson43420.320.180.15-0.231931615.816.0-0.1616.516.10.41
Andrea Bargnani65650.310.190.13-0.302112016.315.01.3015.418.6-3.21
Hedo Turkoglu66660.240.26-0.01-0.081111017.013.03.9516.116.8-0.68
Sonny Weems18170.150.35-0.200.00517-1212.616.7-4.1818.715.73.00
Jarrett Jack46450.050.45-0.400.05022-2215.216.6-1.3516.216.4-0.21
Marcus Banks770.000.50-0.500.12-426-3013.416.1-2.6820.116.04.19
Patrick O'Bryant770.000.50-0.500.12-426-3013.416.1-2.6820.116.04.19
DeMar DeRozan4645-0.050.55-0.600.12-628-3414.817.0-2.2017.015.51.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 84, SAS 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
GSW 106, SAC 1200.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
POR 88, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%