NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	95		Excitement	3.9 [1008]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +15.5%
Utah Jazz	112		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Andrew Bogut (MIL): -7.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Bell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	-0.01	-0.04	13	54%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.15	-0.02	0.11	14	87%	0.11	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.03	11	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Brandon Jennings	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.02	-0.04	8	25%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.00	-0.00	11	76%	0.16	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	63%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	75%	0.18	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	12	50%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	117%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	4	90%	0.00	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	13	43%	0.04	6	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	26.1	14.8	26.2	1.7	26.2	124.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +41.7%

UTA +3.7%

UTA +5.7%

MIL -2.5%

UTA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	UTA	NBA	MIL	UTA	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	15.3	93.1	110.9	106.0
season	15.5	15.3		103.3	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.1	12.0	13.5	12.7	13.1
UTA	13.0	15.7	14.2	18.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	10	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-20	23	12.9	13.1	-0.22	17.6	15.1	2.49
Ersan Ilyasova	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-16	15	12.9	13.3	-0.35	16.0	14.5	1.52
Luc Mbah a Moute	22	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-12	7	14.4	12.7	1.67	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Jodie Meeks	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-13	9	13.6	12.9	0.67	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Charlie Bell	65	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-17	17	12.6	14.0	-1.37	16.4	13.4	2.99
Kurt Thomas	12	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-9	1	13.8	13.0	0.83	14.7	15.4	-0.61
Brandon Jennings	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-11	5	13.1	13.1	-0.02	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Andrew Bogut	76	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-5	-7	13.0	13.3	-0.33	14.8	16.9	-2.12
Luke Ridnour	59	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.08	-16	-1	-15	13.1	13.1	-0.03	15.5	15.0	0.58
Hakim Warrick	38	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	3	-23	13.8	12.7	1.06	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Carlos Delfino	84	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-1	-15	12.8	14.5	-1.70	15.3	15.1	0.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	56	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	10	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.88	12.4	14.0	-1.63
Andrei Kirilenko	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	-1	19	15.5	15.0	0.44	13.6	12.4	1.17
Mehmet Okur	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	5	7	14.1	16.8	-2.63	14.2	11.7	2.49
Carlos Boozer	78	77	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	4	9	16.0	12.8	3.19	12.8	14.1	-1.30
Ronnie Price	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	5	7	15.8	14.9	0.88	12.6	13.5	-0.89
CJ Miles	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	9	-1	14.8	15.7	-0.89	12.4	13.7	-1.33
Deron Williams	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	6	5	15.3	15.2	0.17	13.4	12.6	0.76
Ronnie Brewer	49	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	9	-1	14.1	16.4	-2.34	13.8	12.4	1.37
Wesley Matthews	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	14	-11	15.9	15.1	0.87	12.1	13.4	-1.32
Kyle Korver	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	20	-23	17.9	14.6	3.32	12.8	13.2	-0.31
Sundiata Gaines	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	18.0	15.3	2.74	17.0	13.1	3.94
Kosta Koufos	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	18.0	15.3	2.74	17.0	13.1	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 78, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIA 70, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
POR 80, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%