NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	14.2 [2]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +28.2%
Chicago Bulls	121		Comeback	6.9 [232]		LVP	Andray Blatche (WAS): -8.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.18	0.00	25	53%	0.28	0	0.00	14	64%	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.03	0.18	0.00	4	75%	0.30	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	4	62%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	23	46%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Caron Butler	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	-0.00	26	47%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	57%	0.06	2	-0.11	6	33%	-0.21
Earl Boykins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	5	80%	0.16	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	12	55%	0.22	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.13
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.02	14	68%	0.28	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.13	-0.00	10	50%	0.16	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.09,-0.02,-0.11,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	33	51%	0.26	3	-0.20	7	71%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	18	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	64%	0.05	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	30.1	15.6	24.5	2.4	35.5	2.5	15.7	2.0	18.8	174.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -41.7%

CHI +49.4%

CHI +37.2%

CHI +5.3%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.0	15.3	109.2	111.0	106.0
season	15.7	14.7		102.6	101.9
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.9	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.0	18.0	17.7	17.1	16.7	16.9
CHI	15.0	14.7	15.0	13.6	17.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	86	82	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	17.7	14.0	3.61	15.7	13.1	2.51
Fabricio Oberto	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	16.0	16.9	-0.94	11.2	15.2	-4.02
Caron Butler	105	106	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-6	10	16.8	20.0	-3.23	15.1	12.0	3.12
Nick Young	23	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	0	-2	14.0	17.7	-3.61	14.0	15.3	-1.35
Andray Blatche	21	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	3	-8	16.7	16.9	-0.28	13.9	15.3	-1.41
Randy Foye	87	87	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-8	14	17.2	15.8	1.34	15.7	12.3	3.41
Brendan Haywood	88	88	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	17.1	15.9	1.28	15.4	13.5	1.93
Dominic McGuire	4	3	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	4	-10	20.0	16.8	3.23	12.0	15.1	-3.12
Antawn Jamison	103	103	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	-1	0	16.8	18.8	-2.06	15.1	13.2	1.98
Earl Boykins	22	24	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	6	-14	15.8	17.2	-1.34	11.5	16.0	-4.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	78	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.63	3	-1	4	14.6	16.0	-1.39	17.4	15.7	1.70
Derrick Rose	93	92	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.57	5	-3	8	15.4	12.9	2.53	17.2	15.5	1.68
Luol Deng	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.50	3	-1	4	15.1	14.8	0.31	17.5	14.9	2.58
Joakim Noah	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	1	0	15.5	13.8	1.72	17.6	15.1	2.46
Kirk Hinrich	82	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	1	0	15.5	13.6	1.92	16.5	18.1	-1.60
James Johnson	6	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	1	0	12.2	15.2	-3.04	16.7	16.9	-0.15
Jannero Pargo	12	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	2	-2	13.4	15.2	-1.82	12.9	17.3	-4.43
Brad Miller	31	31	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	1	0	13.8	15.5	-1.72	15.1	17.6	-2.46
Taj Gibson	26	28	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	4	-6	16.3	14.7	1.62	14.8	17.6	-2.83
Tyrus Thomas	54	51	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	-0.19	-3	5	-8	14.2	15.8	-1.61	17.4	16.5	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.36,0.58,0.74,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.21,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 93, LAC 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.54,0.45,0.12,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.81,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.83,1	87.5%
TOR 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.09,0	87.2%
CLE 79, MIL 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.42,0	87.1%