NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	9.7 [69]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +71.0%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	177.6 [6]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -23.7%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	10	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Lou Amundson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.07	0.01	14	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,-0.07,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.06
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.13	-0.01	-0.10	0.02	21	50%	0.12	3	-0.25	14	71%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,-0.01,-0.17,0.71	0.71	0.02	0.68	-0.01	15	57%	0.91	3	-0.20	7	100%	0.05
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	13	75%	0.22	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.01	15	51%	0.20	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.04
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.06	-0.18	-0.00	22	41%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	37.7	17.0	28.2	3.5	47.5	164.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +62.1%

ATL +2.5%

PHX -3.8%

PHX -14.2%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.9	15.3	106.3	108.5	106.0
season	14.4	16.0		113.5	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	15.1	15.2	15.5	14.6
ATL	17.3	14.9	15.4	15.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	59	59	0.62	-1.12	1.75	0.33	10	-11	21	14.8	14.4	0.39	16.0	15.6	0.35
Leandro Barbosa	22	22	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.09	-1	0	-1	15.8	14.3	1.54	19.1	14.8	4.29
Jason Richardson	54	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	14.3	15.1	-0.86	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Channing Frye	42	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	1	-3	14.0	15.1	-1.09	16.4	15.4	0.96
Goran Dragic	47	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-1	1	15.1	14.2	0.94	15.0	16.7	-1.62
Amar'e Stoudemire	74	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.46	-2	1	-3	15.1	13.0	2.09	16.4	14.1	2.24
Steve Nash	64	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.54	-3	2	-5	14.1	15.7	-1.55	15.5	16.5	-0.94
Grant Hill	65	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.57	-4	3	-7	14.2	15.5	-1.22	15.3	16.9	-1.52
Jared Dudley	36	36	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.80	2	-3	5	15.1	14.4	0.68	15.7	16.0	-0.30
Lou Amundson	13	14	-1.00	0.51	-1.51	-0.80	-7	6	-13	13.2	14.9	-1.62	12.8	16.4	-3.60

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	56	59	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-9	19	15.9	15.8	0.10	14.4	15.0	-0.64
Joe Johnson	85	87	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.49	10	-9	19	15.1	23.3	-8.27	14.5	16.4	-1.90
Josh Smith	76	78	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-10	21	15.3	18.1	-2.80	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Al Horford	88	91	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.40	7	-6	13	15.7	18.7	-3.01	14.7	12.0	2.75
Jamal Crawford	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	9	-17	15.2	17.1	-1.91	14.9	14.1	0.75
Marvin Williams	58	58	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	-1	3	16.8	14.3	2.46	14.8	14.3	0.50
Jason Collins	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	3	-5	20.0	15.8	4.19	0.0	14.6	-14.63
Mario West	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	2	-3	15.2	15.9	-0.73	16.0	14.6	1.44
Maurice Evans	19	17	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.00	-10	11	-21	17.6	15.4	2.23	14.3	14.7	-0.41
Joe Smith	20	19	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.04	-14	15	-29	19.6	14.8	4.76	14.6	14.6	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.18,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.23,0.45,0.42,1	90.9%
CLE 88, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	90.4%
BOS 91, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.47,0.28,0.16,0.26,1	90.3%