NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	8.1 [210]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +30.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	1.3 [725]		LVP	Peja Stojakovic (NOH): -18.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.33,0.31	0.01	0.29	-0.01	13	48%	0.33	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	5	90%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	11	65%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	89%	-0.07
Julian Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	13	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	17	36%	-0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.04
Peja Stojakovic	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	12	37%	-0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	10	64%	0.18	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.01	6	57%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.01	5	60%	0.21	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.07
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	49%	0.11	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.5	15.8	24.5	1.8	37.5	134.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.0%

PHI +14.3%

NOH -17.1%

NOH -1.7%

PHI +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHI	NBA	NOH	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.3	102.2	106.7	106.0
season	15.5	15.1		106.0	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.2		108.4	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.4	13.4	17.2	17.6	16.1
PHI	13.6	17.3	12.8	21.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	36	37	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.19	18	-22	40	15.1	16.7	-1.67	20.0	13.1	6.89
Julian Wright	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-4	4	13.0	16.4	-3.40	16.7	15.9	0.80
Chris Paul	74	77	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.44	13	-17	30	16.3	14.9	1.44	16.0	15.4	0.65
Darius Songaila	35	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-5	6	15.6	16.3	-0.70	18.9	14.1	4.82
James Posey	39	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.48	9	-13	22	15.2	16.7	-1.50	17.1	15.1	2.05
Peja Stojakovic	60	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	1	-6	15.9	16.4	-0.57	15.2	17.5	-2.31
Bobby Brown	16	13	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	13	-30	14.9	16.3	-1.44	15.4	16.0	-0.65
Emeka Okafor	67	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	6	-16	16.8	13.8	2.99	14.3	20.4	-6.10
David West	61	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	5	-14	16.5	15.1	1.35	15.5	16.9	-1.35
Devin Brown	53	51	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.05	-20	16	-36	16.9	14.8	2.07	13.5	19.2	-5.71

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-2	8	15.7	18.0	-2.28	16.7	11.1	5.58
Samuel Dalembert	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	1	2	16.8	14.3	2.47	16.6	14.9	1.71
Elton Brand	58	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.00	13	-9	22	17.0	14.0	2.97	16.3	15.6	0.72
Jrue Holiday	41	39	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.33	1	3	-2	18.3	14.0	4.27	15.8	16.3	-0.46
Willie Green	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	1	2	21.2	13.8	7.33	14.8	16.6	-1.83
Rodney Carney	11	11	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	4	-4	15.5	16.0	-0.56	10.7	16.8	-6.07
Thaddeus Young	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	11	-18	13.4	19.5	-6.11	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Lou Williams	49	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	1	2	14.0	18.3	-4.27	16.3	15.8	0.46
Allen Iverson	62	62	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	5	-6	14.1	19.9	-5.78	16.8	14.5	2.26
Marreese Speights	10	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	18.3	15.6	2.65	11.3	16.6	-5.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.68,0.63,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 97, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.38,0.62,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.87,0.62,0.85,0.89,0.73,1	89.8%
SAS 108, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.71,0.85,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.85,1	89.6%
UTA 92, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.46,0.57,0.58,1	89.6%