inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 101 Excitement8.1 [209] MVPA.J. Price (IND): +13.8%
Indiana Pacers 105 Comeback15.6 [103] LVPJarrett Jack (TOR): -33.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.130.080.060.021456%0.202-0.072075%0.05
Jose Calderon0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.02-0.01775%0.122-0.052100%0.02
Rasho Nesterovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.023100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Antoine Wright0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00460%0.051-0.02250%-0.02
Amir Johnson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.010100%0.0100.002100%0.00
Sonny Weems0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00554%0.0100.00333%-0.05
DeMar DeRozan0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.01744%0.0000.00250%-0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00939%0.022-0.0800%0.00
Andrea Bargnani-0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.11,-0.1-0.08-0.05-0.031437%-0.012-0.10475%-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu-0.160,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.05-0.110.01942%-0.132-0.03683%0.02
Jarrett Jack-0.330,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.33,-0.33-0.13-0.190.01925%-0.273-0.06250%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.14,0.140.140.020.130.011162%0.193-0.054100%0.01
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.090.090.080.020.011956%0.142-0.053100%0.01
Earl Watson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.100.00861%0.204-0.132100%0.01
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.030.030.040.010.021060%0.092-0.06580%0.01
Solomon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00850%0.0200.004100%0.02
Troy Murphy0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.020.020.12-0.050.051277%0.092-0.07250%-0.02
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01427%-0.0400.00729%-0.09
Roy Hibbert0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01729%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.32.327.816.030.92.541.3146.1
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +67.8%
TOR -17.5%
TOR -1.6%
IND +2.9%
TOR -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORINDNBATORINDNBA
this game14.513.515.398.1101.9106.0
season15.014.2109.6102.2
opponent15.115.5105.3111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR14.814.613.215.614.5
IND14.612.213.513.813.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson27280.41-0.911.32-0.0917-213814.314.6-0.3214.713.01.76
Sonny Weems27280.26-0.761.020.038-122013.714.8-1.0212.613.8-1.18
Rasho Nesterovic890.25-0.751.00-0.1614-183215.414.40.9512.013.6-1.61
Marco Belinelli43440.02-0.520.540.020-4414.714.30.4312.614.1-1.49
DeMar DeRozan4443-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-3214.114.8-0.7513.613.40.20
Antoine Wright2120-0.24-0.260.010.08-117-1814.614.50.1012.213.8-1.51
Jose Calderon5656-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.423-71013.915.2-1.2813.713.20.43
Jarrett Jack5756-0.600.10-0.70-0.40-73-1015.413.32.0713.912.91.01
Chris Bosh7776-0.710.21-0.91-0.21-1713-3014.414.7-0.2113.413.7-0.27
Andrea Bargnani7676-0.710.21-0.92-0.39-117-1814.414.7-0.3313.712.80.88
Hedo Turkoglu7979-0.790.29-1.08-0.35-1511-2614.713.80.9213.613.10.50

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Granger86870.80-0.301.100.3615-112613.115.5-2.4714.514.30.22
Earl Watson79790.78-0.281.070.3116-122813.214.4-1.2414.514.5-0.06
Troy Murphy83830.65-0.150.810.3311-71813.114.8-1.7214.713.51.17
Mike Dunleavy61590.500.000.500.297-31013.613.30.2614.814.10.75
A.J. Price48480.380.120.260.50-48-1213.813.20.5714.714.30.32
Solomon Jones38380.120.38-0.27-0.128-41213.613.40.2613.715.0-1.29
Luther Head38380.080.42-0.34-0.075-1612.813.9-1.1114.014.8-0.78
Roy Hibbert1515-0.250.75-1.000.16-1418-3215.213.22.0315.314.40.90
Brandon Rush4041-0.280.78-1.050.05-1115-2614.712.71.9814.814.30.47
Tyler Hansbrough2727-0.290.79-1.070.10-1317-3013.913.30.5213.714.8-1.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.39,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 91, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.91,191.3%
PHI 101, MIN 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.74,190.5%
BOS 86, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.44,0.37,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,190.4%