NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	3.0 [1180]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +12.3%
Dallas Mavericks	93		Comeback	1.2 [353]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -8.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.01	-0.03	13	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	0.00	0.12	5	120%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	0.07	14	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.00	0.07	11	79%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	22	53%	0.04	3	-0.05	11	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	0.08	14	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	25.2	16.4	28.8	2.0	27.4	126.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.5%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +2.0%

UTA +14.8%

DAL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.3	122.0	104.5	106.0
season	15.3	15.2		109.5	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.8	17.2	15.9	17.8	16.1
DAL	16.2	17.9	13.5	16.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	51	48	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	4	10	15.9	16.3	-0.35	16.0	15.8	0.17
Deron Williams	79	79	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	8	2	16.3	14.5	1.82	15.5	19.0	-3.47
Andrei Kirilenko	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	3	12	15.4	17.3	-1.94	16.3	15.3	0.95
CJ Miles	38	38	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	6	6	15.4	16.5	-1.08	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Mehmet Okur	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.09	12	6	6	15.9	16.2	-0.30	15.5	16.4	-0.87
Paul Millsap	49	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	9	0	16.1	16.1	0.01	16.3	15.4	0.89
Carlos Boozer	64	63	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	16	-14	16.9	14.1	2.74	15.5	17.0	-1.52
Wesley Matthews	26	24	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	12	-6	16.0	16.1	-0.11	17.5	15.4	2.10
Ronnie Price	10	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	12	-6	13.8	16.4	-2.56	18.9	15.6	3.30
Kyle Korver	27	27	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	18	-18	17.0	15.7	1.37	16.3	15.8	0.49
Sundiata Gaines	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	18.0	16.0	1.97	20.0	15.9	4.12
Kyrylo Fesenko	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	18.0	16.0	1.97	20.0	15.9	4.12

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Singleton	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-18	18	14.9	16.1	-1.15	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Matt Carroll	17	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-17	16	11.8	16.9	-5.07	17.5	15.7	1.77
Quinton Ross	12	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-9	0	15.8	15.9	-0.10	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Rodrigue Beaubois	12	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-9	0	15.8	15.9	-0.10	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Erick Dampier	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-17	16	16.8	14.6	2.22	16.3	15.8	0.45
Jose Juan Barea	28	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.23	-16	-2	-14	14.9	16.4	-1.55	15.7	16.3	-0.57
Jason Terry	68	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-12	6	16.2	14.9	1.33	16.1	16.0	0.10
Jason Kidd	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-13	8	16.1	15.4	0.64	16.4	15.0	1.34
Shawn Marion	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-9	0	16.9	13.7	3.20	16.1	16.1	0.01
Tim Thomas	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	0	-18	15.0	16.5	-1.57	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Dirk Nowitzki	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.01	-16	-2	-14	16.0	15.3	0.74	16.3	14.8	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 107, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
DEN 109, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIN 117, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%