NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	8.5 [168]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +47.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	124		Comeback	4.3 [774]		LVP	Ronny Turiaf (GSW): -8.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.14	0.01	11	71%	0.27	0	0.00	13	85%	0.12
CJ Watson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.08	0.04	6	93%	0.21	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	9	61%	0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	63%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	23	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Andris Biedrins	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.09	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Ronny Turiaf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.14

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.23	0.26	0.01	27	63%	0.49	1	-0.02	16	100%	0.12
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.14	-0.02	10	60%	0.24	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.03	0.20	-0.02	12	38%	0.19	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	16	67%	0.22	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.7	27.3	15.8	31.7	2.7	38.6	146.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +3.5%

LAL +36.1%

LAL +4.8%

LAL +13.3%

GSW -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.6	15.3	113.5	121.6	106.0
season	13.4	15.7		106.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	14.8		103.0	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.8	15.1	13.6	13.0	13.3
LAL	13.9	15.5	14.1	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	43	41	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-11	16	14.1	12.8	1.27	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Vladimir Radmanovic	57	53	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-7	8	12.9	13.8	-0.92	14.8	14.4	0.42
Andris Biedrins	52	54	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-10	14	13.6	13.0	0.58	15.3	13.9	1.46
Anthony Morrow	43	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	12.9	13.7	-0.80	14.7	14.6	0.07
CJ Watson	64	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.29	0	-6	6	13.5	13.1	0.33	14.9	14.3	0.53
Stephen Curry	53	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	1	-8	12.5	14.2	-1.78	13.9	15.4	-1.44
Monta Ellis	90	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	13.9	9.6	4.26	14.9	12.7	2.24
Corey Maggette	66	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	5	-16	13.6	12.8	0.76	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Ronny Turiaf	52	49	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.24	-15	9	-24	12.7	14.0	-1.35	14.0	15.2	-1.25

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	96	98	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-7	20	14.6	15.2	-0.55	13.2	14.7	-1.42
Sasha Vujacic	46	47	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	14.5	14.8	-0.27	13.2	13.5	-0.29
Kobe Bryant	90	92	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	-1	8	14.7	14.0	0.73	13.7	10.3	3.38
Lamar Odom	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.40	-2	8	-10	14.2	15.9	-1.69	12.8	14.8	-2.03
Jordan Farmar	57	59	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	6	-6	13.8	15.7	-1.82	12.2	14.8	-2.67
Derek Fisher	45	45	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	0	6	15.7	13.8	1.82	14.8	12.2	2.67
Josh Powell	6	7	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.06	5	1	4	15.0	14.6	0.37	16.4	13.1	3.33
Andrew Bynum	52	51	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	12	-18	15.2	14.1	1.03	14.0	12.7	1.24
Shannon Brown	41	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	14.8	14.6	0.22	12.5	13.9	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 103, SAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.98,0.97,1	91.6%
CLE 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	91.5%
POR 86, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.95,1	91.5%