NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	3.7 [1056]		MVP	Mo Williams (CLE): +17.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	1.5 [311]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -7.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.04	-0.02	13	78%	0.21	4	-0.03	10	90%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	8	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Anderson Varejao	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	7	93%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	6	27%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	19	53%	0.06	7	-0.08	11	55%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	2	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.01	33	45%	0.01	4	-0.08	12	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	3.7	33.6	22.7	33.3	3.5	40.5	162.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +46.6%

CLE +6.2%

LAL -2.5%

LAL -0.4%

CLE +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.3	106.2	90.6	106.0
season	16.1	15.7		109.5	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	15.2	14.5	15.8	15.0
LAL	16.1	14.2	16.1	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	65	66	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-5	25	14.9	15.2	-0.35	15.0	15.0	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	61	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.13	21	-6	27	15.2	14.6	0.55	14.4	16.1	-1.69
Mo Williams	79	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	2	11	15.2	14.1	1.13	15.0	14.9	0.09
LeBron James	81	82	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	7	1	15.1	14.4	0.70	14.8	16.1	-1.24
Shaquille O'Neal	40	42	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	6	3	15.9	14.3	1.56	16.3	14.0	2.31
Anthony Parker	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.02	11	4	7	14.2	15.8	-1.61	15.6	14.3	1.31
Delonte West	34	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	10	-5	14.2	15.4	-1.26	15.2	14.9	0.22
Jamario Moon	48	48	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	13	-11	15.6	14.4	1.23	14.2	15.8	-1.65
Jawad Williams	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	17.0	15.0	2.03	0.0	15.0	-15.01
Darnell Jackson	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	18	-21	8.0	15.1	-7.06	0.0	15.0	-15.01
Daniel Gibson	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	17	-19	1.0	15.1	-14.14	0.0	15.0	-15.01
JJ Hickson	21	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	24	-33	14.5	15.1	-0.66	15.1	15.0	0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	9.8	15.6	-5.82	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Sasha Vujacic	14	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-12	9	17.6	14.6	3.08	11.2	15.7	-4.56
Andrew Bynum	50	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-20	25	15.8	14.2	1.56	15.7	14.3	1.40
Shannon Brown	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-9	3	13.9	15.5	-1.63	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Metta World Peace	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.13	-3	-12	9	14.8	15.4	-0.64	16.1	13.2	2.97
Jordan Farmar	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-5	-5	13.9	15.4	-1.51	12.6	15.9	-3.28
Derek Fisher	69	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-10	5	15.4	13.9	1.51	15.9	12.6	3.28
Lamar Odom	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	3	-21	16.0	13.8	2.18	14.1	16.2	-2.15
Kobe Bryant	91	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.04	-18	3	-21	15.1	13.0	2.12	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Pau Gasol	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	6	-27	14.5	17.1	-2.52	15.3	13.8	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.4,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, GSW 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
SAC 115, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
BKN 95, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%