inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 86 Excitement5.8 [639] MVPRasheed Wallace (BOS): +10.6%
Orlando Magic 77 Comeback1.6 [319] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -23.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.040.00779%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.011155%0.081-0.03757%-0.03
Ray Allen0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03-0.000.050.021258%0.114-0.08786%0.02
Brian Scalabrine-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00437%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Garnett-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0-0.050.03-0.02945%0.042-0.054100%0.03
Glen Davis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01475%0.054-0.0800%0.00
Eddie House-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.02633%-0.0500.003100%0.01
Rajon Rondo-0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21-0.20-0.02-0.011840%-0.028-0.19743%-0.06

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.080.080.040.03-0.011454%0.132-0.04786%0.03
Vince Carter0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.012057%0.082-0.05786%0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.01-0.00367%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.040.01756%0.023-0.102100%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.0040%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.01828%-0.0900.00250%-0.02
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.05-0.001133%-0.082-0.062100%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.20-0.05-0.02728%-0.057-0.18475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.23.735.224.329.33.637.4163.8
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +51.1%
ORL -8.7%
BOS +2.7%
BOS +0.5%
BOS +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game14.615.315.389.679.4106.0
season15.515.4105.7110.1
opponent15.915.7101.9102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.313.816.514.814.6
ORL16.115.614.215.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendrick Perkins40410.63-0.130.750.0719-102913.915.0-1.0517.113.93.19
Ray Allen88890.55-0.050.600.2311-21314.119.1-4.9815.314.60.71
Rajon Rondo94940.52-0.020.550.2690914.612.02.6215.314.01.32
Kevin Garnett67660.310.190.120.2527-514.714.20.5115.015.9-0.87
Tony Allen42420.250.25-0.010.2509-914.914.30.5716.614.32.32
Eddie House32350.230.27-0.03-0.0610-11115.014.30.6613.916.1-2.22
Rasheed Wallace65650.060.44-0.370.18-413-1714.814.10.7414.716.4-1.73
Glen Davis780.050.45-0.41-0.0436-310.914.9-4.0018.115.03.10
Shelden Williams1212-0.050.55-0.600.01-211-1317.214.23.0713.115.6-2.50
Brian Scalabrine3333-0.050.55-0.610.03-312-1514.514.6-0.1614.315.8-1.43

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Williams3131-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-9914.115.8-1.7415.913.92.03
Marcin Gortat98-0.06-0.440.370.05-4-5113.715.4-1.7813.914.6-0.75
Ryan Anderson2120-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-4-5115.515.20.2516.214.12.13
Matt Barnes2627-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-9916.414.91.5616.413.82.62
Vince Carter6464-0.21-0.290.07-0.19-1-8715.514.80.7014.215.3-1.17
Mickael Pietrus6564-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.12-6-3-315.415.10.2314.315.1-0.80
JJ Redick3937-0.31-0.19-0.120.01-112-1314.016.1-2.1414.314.7-0.39
Rashard Lewis7676-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.22-5-4-115.215.5-0.2514.116.2-2.13
Dwight Howard8888-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.29-5-4-115.413.71.7814.613.90.75
Jameer Nelson6665-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.17-90-915.814.11.7413.915.9-2.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.08,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 102, HOU 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,095.4%
DET 103, ORL 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,094.8%
LAC 103, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,094.5%