NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	6.1 [586]		MVP	Tim Thomas (DAL): +20.5%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.2 [485]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (CLE): -11.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	125%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.06	0.03	0.02	11	64%	0.15	2	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Anderson Varejao	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.08	-0.06	23	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	42%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	0.01	14	63%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.02	12	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	11	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	30.9	16.7	24.6	0.5	30.4	131.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +34.1%

DAL +8.6%

CLE -13.6%

DAL +18.1%

DAL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DAL	NBA	CLE	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.3	104.4	112.1	106.0
season	16.1	15.2		109.5	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		104.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.8	17.8	17.4	16.0	16.5
DAL	14.6	14.3	14.7	17.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-4	1	16.0	16.7	-0.71	13.8	16.2	-2.46
Daniel Gibson	30	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-7	7	17.7	15.8	1.91	15.4	15.1	0.24
JJ Hickson	31	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	0	-7	16.4	16.5	-0.05	14.8	15.4	-0.64
Anderson Varejao	63	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	16.8	15.6	1.27	15.4	14.8	0.59
Anthony Parker	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	15.6	18.2	-2.63	16.0	13.4	2.66
Shaquille O'Neal	32	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	16.9	16.2	0.65	15.5	15.0	0.44
Delonte West	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	16.7	16.0	0.70	15.3	15.1	0.24
Mo Williams	63	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	16.0	17.4	-1.31	15.1	15.4	-0.35
LeBron James	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	16.5	16.2	0.25	15.1	16.0	-0.90

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-4	15	14.9	16.0	-1.15	16.7	15.9	0.78
Jason Kidd	68	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.32	7	0	7	15.0	15.9	-0.90	16.7	15.6	1.07
Jason Terry	65	66	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	15.0	15.7	-0.69	16.6	16.0	0.62
Erick Dampier	46	47	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	16.0	14.4	1.58	16.6	16.3	0.26
Tim Thomas	68	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	4	-1	16.0	12.8	3.17	16.4	16.6	-0.24
Drew Gooden	45	44	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	2	3	14.4	16.0	-1.58	16.3	16.6	-0.26
Jose Juan Barea	49	47	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	6	-5	15.8	14.5	1.25	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Josh Howard	47	48	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	7	-7	14.5	16.0	-1.51	16.2	16.7	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	94.2%
ORL 67, ATL 78	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.65,0.77,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.5%
CHH 70, MIA 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.99,0.98,1,1	92.9%