inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 82 Excitement5.4 [729] MVPMo Williams (CLE): +8.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 85 Comeback2.4 [905] LVPBrandon Jennings (MIL): -20.6%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charlie Bell0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.09-0.020.031359%0.0400.001100%0.00
Kurt Thomas0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.020.00650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Carlos Delfino0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01650%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jodie Meeks0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.03-0.04250%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Ersan Ilyasova-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.030.061560%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Hakim Warrick-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01337%-0.021-0.01250%-0.01
Michael Redd-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01932%-0.051-0.02450%-0.03
Luke Ridnour-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.010.0030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Andrew Bogut-0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.040.01729%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Brandon Jennings-0.210,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21-0.09-0.12-0.012137%-0.162-0.047100%0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mo Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.03-0.021355%0.132-0.045100%0.02
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.070.070.020.02-0.031365%0.226-0.151486%0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.00375%0.0400.002100%0.01
Anthony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.03837%0.0100.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.010.01664%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.02957%0.032-0.04367%-0.01
Jamario Moon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02233%0.011-0.032100%0.01
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02518%-0.0200.0010%-0.02
JJ Hickson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01325%-0.0400.0020%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.02.833.017.825.81.836.2146.3
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +63.3%
CLE +8.7%
MIL -7.9%
MIL -15.6%
CLE +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILCLENBAMILCLENBA
this game15.716.915.393.295.5106.0
season15.516.1103.3109.5
opponent15.015.5103.3101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.316.917.814.915.7
CLE17.215.116.518.516.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jodie Meeks110.03-0.530.56-0.032-574.015.8-11.800.017.1-17.06
Luc Mbah a Moute27270.03-0.530.55-0.001-4514.716.1-1.3417.716.51.20
Francisco Elson1413-0.03-0.470.45-0.061-4517.115.41.6713.517.4-3.90
Ersan Ilyasova5759-0.15-0.350.19-0.336-91514.318.3-3.9917.615.42.16
Andrew Bogut3033-0.17-0.330.17-0.222-5713.916.6-2.7418.615.92.72
Luke Ridnour2932-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-1-115.016.0-0.9515.517.6-2.13
Michael Redd3838-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-30-316.714.91.7816.017.5-1.46
Kurt Thomas3231-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.02-96-1517.014.92.1416.417.1-0.78
Carlos Delfino4445-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.15-74-1115.316.0-0.7017.716.01.76
Hakim Warrick4342-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.20-63-917.314.13.2415.917.7-1.82
Brandon Jennings6867-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.401-4515.715.7-0.0417.415.32.05
Charlie Bell5757-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.42-1-2116.214.61.6316.817.0-0.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anderson Varejao55550.53-0.030.560.2410-71716.317.8-1.5516.714.02.72
LeBron James71700.480.020.450.3930317.116.10.9515.616.0-0.41
Mo Williams66650.420.080.350.3430317.415.22.2215.616.0-0.39
Anthony Parker41410.310.190.130.117-41117.116.70.4315.216.1-0.84
Delonte West49490.240.26-0.010.36-47-1116.417.4-1.0216.115.11.07
JJ Hickson34330.200.30-0.090.1712-118.316.02.3115.315.9-0.54
Zydrunas Ilgauskas28280.190.31-0.11-0.1311-81915.317.6-2.2516.315.40.95
Jamario Moon43420.120.38-0.270.38-912-2116.717.1-0.4115.815.60.17
Daniel Gibson24240.050.45-0.410.0503-315.417.4-1.9815.515.7-0.18
Shaquille O'Neal3433-0.050.55-0.600.16-710-1717.816.31.5514.016.7-2.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, IND 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,195.1%
DEN 86, SEA 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.8%
CLE 94, OKC 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.99,194.7%