NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	5.3 [745]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (OKC): +7.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Comeback	2.6 [733]		LVP	Shawn Marion (CLE): -13.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Waiters	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	8	87%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	13	53%	0.05	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	8	58%	0.05	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
James Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	11	39%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	21	42%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	8	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	56%	0.07	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	24	52%	0.04	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.3	33.7	16.7	29.2	3.4	36.3	146.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +32.2%

OKC +5.2%

CLE -3.9%

OKC +15.1%

OKC +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	OKC	NBA	CLE	OKC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	15.1	94.9	103.0	104.2
season	15.9	14.5		108.7	105.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		103.5	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	17.0	17.0	15.1	15.8
OKC	12.7	11.3	12.3	16.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.J. Price	2	3	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-10	11	24.5	15.6	8.92	14.0	13.2	0.82
Matthew Dellavedova	69	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-16	23	15.5	16.4	-0.97	13.9	11.7	2.11
Joe Harris	14	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-17	25	11.9	16.4	-4.46	17.4	12.5	4.94
Anderson Varejao	56	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-10	11	16.5	14.8	1.75	13.1	13.4	-0.33
Shawn Marion	44	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	16.5	15.2	1.30	12.9	13.4	-0.53
James Jones	32	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	6	-21	15.5	15.9	-0.43	11.3	14.1	-2.81
Dion Waiters	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	8	-25	16.7	14.7	2.06	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Kevin Love	81	83	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	15.3	17.9	-2.60	13.3	12.7	0.60
Tristan Thompson	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	2	-13	15.7	15.9	-0.18	13.2	13.2	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	83	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	-3	-3	15.6	16.8	-1.26	13.3	12.4	0.91

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	13.4	13.0	0.45	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Kevin Durant	64	63	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	3	3	13.0	13.5	-0.43	15.9	15.6	0.32
Russell Westbrook	75	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.20	5	4	1	13.5	12.2	1.28	15.7	15.9	-0.23
Serge Ibaka	52	52	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	2	5	12.9	13.5	-0.58	16.8	14.6	2.21
Kendrick Perkins	42	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	0	9	11.9	14.1	-2.19	15.9	15.6	0.28
Reggie Jackson	55	56	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	-1	11	12.9	13.6	-0.69	15.3	16.4	-1.09
Andre Roberson	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	9	-9	13.1	13.3	-0.19	16.1	15.6	0.49
Steven Adams	47	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	9	-9	14.3	12.2	2.11	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Nick Collison	42	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.25	-3	12	-15	14.4	12.3	2.04	15.3	16.1	-0.78
Jeremy Lamb	39	40	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	7	-5	12.2	13.8	-1.63	15.7	15.8	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 100, IND 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 81, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%