NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	88		Excitement	7.4 [310]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +26.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	4.1 [525]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -12.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	9	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.03
Beno Udrih	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	15	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.22	4	-0.21	7	57%	-0.04
Jon Brockman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	22%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Donte Greene	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.05
Spencer Hawes	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.19	-0.01	21	53%	0.31	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.09	0.00	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.06	0.02	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Brandon Roy	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.02	20	53%	0.11	5	-0.23	7	57%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	34.2	14.8	22.3	2.4	35.2	135.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +17.0%

POR +8.5%

POR +17.4%

POR +3.6%

POR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	17.9	15.3	100.0	111.8	106.0
season	15.2	16.7		103.7	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.3	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.1	16.2	15.0	16.3	15.4
POR	18.0	18.8	19.3	15.6	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	26	27	0.60	-1.10	1.69	0.07	18	-25	43	15.1	15.5	-0.46	19.0	17.4	1.55
Ime Udoka	45	44	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.23	16	-23	39	15.8	14.9	0.91	18.5	17.4	1.06
Jon Brockman	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-6	5	14.2	15.7	-1.44	19.5	17.5	1.99
Sergio Rodriguez	15	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-5	3	15.8	15.3	0.48	15.9	18.4	-2.47
Beno Udrih	58	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.46	13	-20	33	15.1	16.0	-0.86	18.1	17.6	0.47
Omri Casspi	36	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-6	5	13.9	16.4	-2.55	17.6	18.2	-0.58
Jason Thompson	71	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-3	-1	15.8	13.6	2.17	18.5	15.7	2.79
Tyreke Evans	58	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	15.9	14.4	1.46	18.5	16.9	1.53
Donte Greene	27	25	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	14	-35	14.8	15.7	-0.84	18.4	17.8	0.59
Andres Nocioni	33	32	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	14	-35	16.0	15.0	1.01	16.3	18.9	-2.66
Spencer Hawes	54	51	-1.00	0.50	-1.51	-0.30	-24	17	-41	15.6	15.1	0.46	16.6	19.9	-3.33

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	56	59	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.32	27	-20	47	16.6	20.6	-4.07	15.7	14.7	1.00
Brandon Roy	76	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-5	17	17.9	18.1	-0.19	15.8	11.6	4.15
Steve Blake	43	45	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	1	5	17.8	18.1	-0.30	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Jerryd Bayless	43	45	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	4	-1	17.3	18.6	-1.39	15.9	14.9	1.05
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	5	-3	18.9	13.5	5.35	15.6	14.4	1.20
Martell Webster	43	42	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	1	5	17.9	18.0	-0.16	14.6	16.1	-1.54
Dante Cunningham	13	13	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	6	-5	13.2	18.8	-5.65	13.8	15.7	-1.82
Andre Miller	50	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	13	-19	18.8	16.8	1.99	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Juwan Howard	31	31	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.05	-16	23	-39	20.3	16.6	3.75	14.9	15.6	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.22,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.46,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.18,0.47,0.72,0.84,0.99,1	90.8%
GSW 112, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.66,0.82,1	90.8%
MIA 89, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.67,0.69,0.54,0.59,0.96,1	90.7%