inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 118 Excitement3.0 [1167] MVPMarc Gasol (MEM): +12.2%
Miami Heat 90 Comeback1.1 [362] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -9.2%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.120,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.020.02789%0.141-0.02450%-0.01
Rudy Gay0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.170.010.072860%0.142-0.031267%-0.02
O.J. Mayo0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.08-0.000.01880%0.112-0.044100%0.02
Mike Conley0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01480%0.051-0.022100%0.00
Sam Young0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.00-0.071431%0.0100.001100%0.00
Steven Hunter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.043100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03357%0.0000.0010%0.00
Marcus Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.040.000.052100%0.001-0.021100%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zach Randolph-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.021638%-0.032-0.022100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.000.01980%0.121-0.022100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.012351%0.073-0.05367%-0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.02454%0.0100.00580%-0.01
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03557%0.0000.004100%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.02967%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Jamaal Magloire00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.03543%-0.0300.00450%-0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.120.00-0.051125%-0.062-0.012100%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.02633%-0.024-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game31.70.529.516.426.41.831.0137.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +21.7%
MEM +7.2%
MEM +16.7%
MEM +4.0%
MEM +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game14.316.015.3120.497.8106.0
season15.416.2106.8104.4
opponent15.415.0102.8108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM11.718.312.216.114.3
MIA16.016.017.015.116.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gay80760.59-0.090.69-0.4335-74213.319.0-5.7116.514.02.46
Zach Randolph64610.480.020.46-0.342802813.615.8-2.2316.215.60.58
O.J. Mayo58550.390.110.27-0.202081213.515.5-2.0115.916.2-0.31
Mike Conley52490.380.120.27-0.232171413.215.6-2.4416.016.0-0.03
Marc Gasol61580.340.160.18-0.131612413.915.1-1.1516.515.21.26
Hasheem Thabeet44380.140.36-0.22-0.211216-413.515.0-1.4817.315.12.19
Jamaal Tinsley33310.120.38-0.27-0.09721-1414.414.30.1316.815.71.12
Sam Young45420.060.44-0.38-0.03325-2216.012.93.0815.616.4-0.80
Steven Hunter13120.000.50-0.500.00028-2818.713.75.0214.216.3-2.15
Hamed Haddadi13130.000.50-0.500.06-230-3218.713.75.0213.216.5-3.26
DeMarre Carroll14130.000.50-0.500.00028-2818.313.74.6113.216.5-3.26
Marcus Williams13120.000.50-0.500.00028-2818.713.75.0214.216.3-2.15

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daequan Cook2224-0.00-0.500.490.06-2-262415.116.3-1.1816.113.82.37
Joel Anthony3035-0.03-0.470.440.24-9-191015.916.1-0.1514.414.30.10
Carlos Arroyo3135-0.03-0.470.440.21-8-201215.916.1-0.2414.414.30.10
James Jones2931-0.05-0.450.400.06-4-242014.816.6-1.7614.714.10.59
Jamaal Magloire1212-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-242014.416.3-1.8612.314.6-2.28
Yakhouba Diawara1919-0.19-0.310.120.11-10-18816.715.80.8912.414.8-2.44
Udonis Haslem4953-0.19-0.310.120.19-13-15216.815.21.5514.214.6-0.40
Dorell Wright5256-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-16-12-416.115.90.2314.314.4-0.12
Jermaine O'Neal5051-0.36-0.14-0.210.08-15-13-216.515.50.9814.813.90.89
Dwyane Wade6569-0.40-0.10-0.290.22-21-7-1415.816.7-0.9513.316.8-3.44
Michael Beasley4850-0.41-0.09-0.320.17-20-8-1216.116.00.1115.113.61.52
Mario Chalmers5355-0.42-0.08-0.340.11-18-10-816.415.50.9514.813.71.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 107, MIN 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
MIL 115, NJN 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
SAS 120, LAL 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%