NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	8.8 [143]		MVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): +19.0%
Washington Wizards	102		Comeback	1.9 [956]		LVP	Randy Foye (WAS): -18.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.26,0.19	0.04	0.16	0.01	20	51%	0.21	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	11	64%	0.20	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.07
Kendrick Perkins	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	7	64%	0.16	3	-0.11	11	55%	-0.06
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	14	57%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04	0.01	0.05	0.01	8	46%	0.04	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.03
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	73%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eddie House	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.01	14	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.22,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	10	77%	0.20	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.04	0.02	7	94%	0.16	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	10	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	23	48%	-0.03	4	-0.11	6	17%	-0.24
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.09	0.03	10	30%	-0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.7	36.4	19.6	29.4	4.3	39.3	161.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +14.8%

BOS +41.8%

WAS -16.6%

BOS +8.1%

BOS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.3	109.5	106.2	106.0
season	15.5	15.7		105.7	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.0	14.6	14.2	15.5	14.8
WAS	14.4	18.8	14.5	13.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	79	80	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	3	-4	14.6	15.8	-1.17	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Kevin Garnett	68	71	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	2	-2	14.2	16.6	-2.39	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Tony Allen	34	35	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.05	14	-12	26	13.2	15.8	-2.59	17.1	14.3	2.79
Kendrick Perkins	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.53	-6	8	-14	14.5	15.6	-1.10	14.7	16.6	-1.92
Rajon Rondo	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.49	-7	9	-16	14.9	14.8	0.07	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Paul Pierce	64	66	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.34	-3	5	-8	15.2	14.0	1.20	14.7	16.7	-1.97
Rasheed Wallace	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	-7	16	15.1	14.7	0.38	16.5	14.7	1.79
Eddie House	32	30	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.06	3	-1	4	16.3	14.1	2.17	16.5	14.8	1.78
Shelden Williams	24	22	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	1	0	17.4	14.0	3.39	16.6	14.9	1.66

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	70	70	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-8	14	15.1	16.0	-0.89	15.5	13.0	2.55
Nick Young	25	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-2	2	14.1	15.7	-1.67	16.0	14.5	1.55
DeShawn Stevenson	34	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.30	9	-11	20	14.5	15.8	-1.26	15.1	14.7	0.33
Fabricio Oberto	3	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	2	-6	25.3	15.0	10.34	12.0	14.9	-2.93
JaVale McGee	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	0	-2	17.4	15.1	2.28	12.6	15.0	-2.45
Earl Boykins	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	6	-14	17.9	14.5	3.42	14.5	15.0	-0.48
Randy Foye	26	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	3	-8	16.4	14.9	1.52	14.0	15.2	-1.12
Andray Blatche	51	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	2	-6	15.6	15.0	0.67	15.0	14.7	0.30
Caron Butler	83	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.46	0	-2	2	15.2	15.9	-0.71	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Gilbert Arenas	84	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-2	2	15.0	17.8	-2.88	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Antawn Jamison	74	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.47	-2	0	-2	14.8	17.0	-2.13	14.5	15.8	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.18,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, SAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.33,0.09,0	92.5%
BOS 105, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.04,0	92.0%
NYK 125, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.53,0.28,0.15,0.05,0	91.4%