NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	7.4 [318]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +39.1%
Miami Heat	85		Comeback	3.2 [477]		LVP	James Jones (MIA): -18.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.39	0.22	0.19	0.02	12	92%	0.39	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.11	0.02	6	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	11	55%	-0.06
Brian Scalabrine	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	150%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	13	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Paul Pierce	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	11	50%	0.03	5	-0.18	8	87%	0.05

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.08,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	14	58%	0.24	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	11	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.12
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	15%	-0.11	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	23	50%	-0.05	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	5	29%	-0.11	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	27.2	15.5	28.1	2.7	35.7	141.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +71.4%

MIA -4.9%

MIA -6.1%

MIA -8.2%

MIA -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIA	NBA	BOS	MIA	NBA
this game	15.6	17.0	15.3	103.4	96.6	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		105.7	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.7		102.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	16.5	13.9	18.6	15.6
MIA	18.3	18.7	15.5	15.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	59	57	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.35	16	-9	25	15.3	16.1	-0.76	16.5	17.9	-1.41
Kevin Garnett	68	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-3	13	14.5	18.9	-4.31	16.2	19.4	-3.14
Kendrick Perkins	55	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-2	11	15.1	16.4	-1.28	16.5	17.9	-1.44
Ray Allen	79	78	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-2	11	16.0	12.2	3.79	16.8	18.3	-1.48
Paul Pierce	72	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	2	3	14.4	20.6	-6.29	16.1	20.4	-4.34
Shelden Williams	12	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	17.7	15.2	2.53	21.1	16.4	4.69
Eddie House	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	9	-11	16.1	15.2	0.97	17.5	16.6	0.91
Brian Scalabrine	9	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	9	-11	20.3	15.0	5.31	17.5	16.9	0.58
Rasheed Wallace	32	31	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	11	-15	16.7	14.9	1.76	18.5	16.2	2.26
Marquis Daniels	23	24	-0.31	0.81	-1.11	-0.16	-5	12	-17	17.2	15.0	2.23	19.8	15.9	3.91

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.04	3	-10	13	19.0	16.3	2.62	18.3	14.7	3.66
Quentin Richardson	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-7	7	19.7	16.4	3.31	17.0	15.3	1.73
Udonis Haslem	41	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.07	-3	-4	1	18.8	15.4	3.40	16.1	15.2	0.87
Daequan Cook	28	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.13	-7	0	-7	19.7	15.7	4.05	18.1	14.4	3.71
James Jones	63	65	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-12	17	15.7	20.3	-4.65	14.9	17.5	-2.60
Joel Anthony	12	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.0	17.1	-1.14	13.1	16.0	-2.91
Michael Beasley	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-11	15	16.2	19.5	-3.25	15.5	15.9	-0.39
Jermaine O'Neal	54	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	0	-7	17.1	16.9	0.17	16.1	14.7	1.37
Mario Chalmers	66	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.33	-10	3	-13	16.3	19.0	-2.62	14.7	18.3	-3.66
Dwyane Wade	71	73	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.46	-14	7	-21	16.3	20.0	-3.73	14.8	19.0	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.69,0.45,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.24,0.04,0	91.9%
SAS 71, HOU 67	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.47,0.38,0.64,0.23,0.02,0	91.8%
UTA 98, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.15,0	91.7%