NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	2.7 [1220]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +20.0%
Utah Jazz	108		Comeback	1.0 [1075]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -7.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	61%	0.09	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Blake	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	16	41%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	44%	0.04	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Greg Oden	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	7	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.02	-0.06	16	71%	0.23	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.01	-0.03	16	68%	0.17	3	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	6	45%	0.05	1	0.00	8	37%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	7	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	32.5	15.5	23.9	2.0	31.2	129.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.5%

POR -2.5%

POR -6.8%

UTA +10.9%

UTA +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.3	102.2	120.0	106.0
season	16.7	15.3		108.8	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.6		104.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.3	14.8	16.1	15.0	15.8
UTA	13.5	16.5	15.9	19.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	9	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	13.9	16.0	-2.15	18.5	15.8	2.70
Dante Cunningham	25	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.27	7	-23	30	15.1	16.1	-1.03	19.9	14.6	5.35
Andre Miller	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-13	10	16.4	15.7	0.62	15.2	16.3	-1.07
Jerryd Bayless	38	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.28	6	-22	28	14.4	16.8	-2.38	17.8	14.9	2.87
Greg Oden	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-14	12	16.8	14.8	2.00	15.9	16.4	-0.49
Rudy Fernandez	60	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-14	12	14.9	17.6	-2.67	16.9	14.8	2.14
Martell Webster	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-11	6	16.3	15.0	1.30	17.1	14.7	2.32
Joel Przybilla	36	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	1	-18	15.1	16.3	-1.28	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Steve Blake	43	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.29	-22	6	-28	16.9	14.8	2.08	14.8	17.3	-2.52
Brandon Roy	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	6	-28	16.2	14.9	1.31	14.7	19.4	-4.62
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.24	-23	7	-30	16.1	15.1	1.03	14.6	19.9	-5.35

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	56	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.12	20	-4	24	14.9	18.2	-3.26	15.9	15.7	0.23
Ronnie Brewer	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	3	10	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.6	17.6	-2.00
Deron Williams	75	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-2	20	15.7	18.6	-2.91	16.2	14.4	1.81
Mehmet Okur	63	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	0	16	15.9	16.9	-0.96	16.0	15.4	0.60
Carlos Boozer	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	1	14	15.9	16.8	-0.94	16.3	14.5	1.80
Kyrylo Fesenko	26	26	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	9	-2	16.8	15.9	0.83	13.8	16.6	-2.78
Eric Maynor	35	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	18	-20	18.9	14.4	4.52	14.9	16.4	-1.44
Andrei Kirilenko	25	26	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	17	-18	16.4	16.1	0.25	16.5	15.5	1.01
Paul Millsap	23	24	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	17	-18	16.7	16.0	0.75	16.1	15.7	0.41
Kosta Koufos	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	18.0	16.1	1.91	15.7	15.8	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 78, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
BOS 89, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
CLE 92, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%