inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 89 Excitement3.1 [1158] MVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): +11.2%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback1.0 [1201] LVPJonas Jerebko (BOS): -8.4%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Bass0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.01771%0.0500.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0.040,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.000.00-0.041552%0.072-0.031100%0.00
Jae Crowder0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.00-0.011442%0.0100.00560%-0.01
Shavlik Randolph0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03555%-0.0000.0010%-0.00
Phil Pressey-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03540%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Marcus Smart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.01948%0.021-0.023100%0.01
Tyler Zeller-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04731%-0.042-0.01250%-0.00
Gigi Datome-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.0360%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Evan Turner-0.060,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.020.061165%-0.004-0.06450%-0.00
Jonas Jerebko-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.000.01739%-0.033-0.054100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.000.041469%0.1100.004100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.015100%0.111-0.0100%0.00
Tiago Splitter0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.150.000.071078%0.0800.00367%-0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.070.00-0.081025%0.0100.0000%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.00-0.041038%0.0100.006100%0.02
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03756%0.043-0.042100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.01-0.03868%0.096-0.09683%0.00
Reggie Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Kyle Anderson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.110.00-0.101025%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.30.525.514.624.42.629.2120.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +33.4%
SAS +14.0%
BOS -3.9%
SAS +6.6%
BOS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSSASNBABOSSASNBA
this game14.415.115.191.8103.1104.2
season14.315.4103.1106.9
opponent14.915.4101.1103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.514.314.213.714.4
SAS13.913.416.516.815.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gerald Wallace30300.01-0.510.53-0.4014-264013.115.0-1.8716.614.52.14
Shavlik Randolph330.00-0.500.50-0.062-14168.714.6-5.9413.315.2-1.84
Gigi Datome1414-0.09-0.410.31-0.04-2-10814.414.40.0111.615.7-4.13
Kelly Olynyk2929-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-8415.314.01.3215.814.81.02
Jonas Jerebko5151-0.16-0.340.17-0.253-151815.113.71.3415.414.90.50
Phil Pressey3738-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-3-614.814.20.5414.115.7-1.60
Jae Crowder6564-0.24-0.260.02-0.333-151815.013.21.7514.715.9-1.18
Brandon Bass4041-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-1-1013.714.9-1.2315.315.00.27
Marcus Smart4648-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-131-1413.914.9-0.9715.414.90.51
Evan Turner6566-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-9-3-614.015.2-1.2316.312.73.55
Tyler Zeller4748-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.08-9-3-614.614.30.2914.815.4-0.59
Avery Bradley5858-0.43-0.07-0.360.30-2513-3814.713.90.7914.416.1-1.71

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green71680.460.040.41-0.0116-42014.516.8-2.3514.514.20.36
Kawhi Leonard63640.430.070.36-0.2523-113414.915.5-0.6714.713.90.73
Tony Parker56560.370.130.25-0.1819-72614.516.0-1.4714.614.20.44
Tim Duncan42410.320.180.13-0.1215-31814.715.4-0.7413.914.8-0.94
Boris Diaw52530.310.190.12-0.1616-42014.316.0-1.7615.613.02.69
Tiago Splitter49490.310.190.11-0.2820-82815.714.51.1615.113.71.41
Patty Mills39380.130.37-0.250.27-517-2216.214.41.7314.614.30.30
Aron Baynes36350.110.39-0.290.37-921-3014.315.6-1.3214.414.5-0.08
Marco Belinelli47470.100.40-0.300.39-1022-3215.614.70.8914.014.8-0.74
Reggie Williams18180.020.48-0.470.19-618-2418.214.43.8112.914.8-1.88
Kyle Anderson330.000.50-0.500.06-214-1613.315.2-1.848.714.6-5.94
Cory Joseph330.000.50-0.500.06-214-1613.315.2-1.848.714.6-5.94
Matt Bonner1110-0.040.54-0.590.40-1527-4219.714.55.2010.914.8-3.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.95,0.94,0.99,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 78, IND 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
MEM 92, NJN 1050.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
CHH 99, PHX 1150.5,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%