NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	7.6 [278]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +17.4%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	1.4 [765]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -18.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.02	19	59%	0.12	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.32,0.11	0.15	-0.02	0.01	17	72%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Jason Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Rodney Carney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	9	20%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.05	0.01	23	62%	0.23	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	16	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	13	54%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	14	47%	0.10	6	-0.29	8	62%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.5	15.5	28.5	2.4	29.9	129.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +53.7%

PHI -5.6%

WAS +17.4%

PHI -20.1%

WAS +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.9	15.3	112.6	113.7	106.0
season	15.1	15.7		104.2	102.6
opponent	15.3	15.8		107.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	16.7	15.4	13.2	15.5
WAS	15.4	14.6	12.9	16.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	56	55	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.10	8	-9	17	16.3	14.3	2.00	15.1	14.5	0.52
Jason Kapono	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-3	5	15.2	15.5	-0.34	16.7	14.6	2.17
Willie Green	33	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-4	7	14.2	16.1	-1.92	16.3	14.1	2.27
Jrue Holiday	18	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.39	10	-11	21	13.5	15.9	-2.42	17.3	14.2	3.08
Rodney Carney	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	5	-11	14.0	16.0	-1.93	14.9	14.8	0.04
Elton Brand	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	9	-19	16.7	14.0	2.71	14.7	15.0	-0.26
Jason Smith	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.46	6	-7	13	14.1	17.4	-3.22	15.0	14.6	0.35
Lou Williams	79	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	2	-5	15.6	14.6	1.01	14.2	18.2	-4.09
Thaddeus Young	83	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.46	-3	2	-5	15.5	15.2	0.34	14.6	16.7	-2.17
Andre Iguodala	60	60	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	11	-23	16.5	13.7	2.86	13.9	16.5	-2.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	64	64	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-10	21	13.9	16.7	-2.80	16.5	13.3	3.23
Antawn Jamison	81	81	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-6	13	14.6	16.5	-1.93	15.9	13.1	2.81
Brendan Haywood	66	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	-1	3	15.1	14.3	0.83	15.7	14.9	0.77
Fabricio Oberto	41	41	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-14	29	14.2	15.3	-1.07	17.4	14.0	3.35
Gilbert Arenas	76	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.45	-2	3	-5	15.0	14.1	0.93	15.8	14.1	1.70
DeShawn Stevenson	4	3	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.40	-1	2	-3	8.7	15.1	-6.37	11.0	15.6	-4.61
JaVale McGee	29	30	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	2	-3	14.3	15.1	-0.83	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Earl Boykins	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	7	-13	15.9	14.1	1.82	13.9	16.5	-2.53
Randy Foye	31	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	11	-21	16.7	13.9	2.80	13.3	16.5	-3.23
Andray Blatche	45	46	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	11	-21	15.2	14.5	0.70	14.0	16.8	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.86,0.71,0.85,0.84,1	93.7%
POR 100, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.83,1	93.2%
PHI 87, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.89,0.91,1	93.1%