NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	101		Excitement	9.3 [92]		MVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): +36.9%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	5.1 [379]		LVP	David West (NOH): -50.3%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.06	0.17	0.01	12	56%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	11	64%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Thornton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.01	19	60%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.10
Emeka Okafor	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Bobby Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	3	25%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.29	-0.06	-0.23	-0.00	12	37%	-0.27	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
David West	-0.50	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.5	-0.07	-0.45	-0.01	15	42%	-0.33	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.37	0.37	0.01	0.33	-0.02	10	54%	0.39	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.16,0.31,0.24,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	21	63%	0.25	4	-0.10	7	57%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	13	61%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	67%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.08	0.01	8	68%	0.06	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	3	62%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.8	2.5	29.9	16.7	26.6	3.4	32.9	144.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +89.0%

NOH -13.9%

NOH -11.5%

NOH -18.4%

MIA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIA	NBA	NOH	MIA	NBA
this game	15.7	15.0	15.3	108.6	107.4	106.0
season	15.5	16.2		106.0	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		102.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	15.1	15.7	14.2	18.3	15.7
MIA	14.3	13.8	15.2	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Brown	31	30	0.50	-1.00	1.49	0.14	12	-13	25	14.9	16.1	-1.13	16.3	14.3	2.01
Darius Songaila	45	45	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.06	14	-15	29	14.6	16.7	-2.02	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Julian Wright	16	15	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.00	8	-9	17	13.4	16.2	-2.72	16.9	14.6	2.27
Sean Marks	22	22	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.11	8	-9	17	13.8	16.3	-2.45	15.1	14.9	0.23
Devin Brown	20	22	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	8	-17	17.1	15.3	1.86	11.5	16.0	-4.50
Emeka Okafor	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	10	-21	15.9	15.6	0.23	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Marcus Thornton	73	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.52	8	-9	17	15.3	17.1	-1.86	16.0	11.5	4.50
James Posey	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-4	7	16.1	15.3	0.75	16.1	14.0	2.11
Peja Stojakovic	66	70	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.52	-9	8	-17	16.2	14.3	1.91	14.8	15.5	-0.76
David West	60	62	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	15	-31	16.8	13.7	3.09	14.5	15.8	-1.23
Darren Collison	62	65	-1.00	0.50	-1.49	-0.62	-13	12	-25	16.1	14.9	1.13	14.3	16.3	-2.01

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Chalmers	71	69	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.58	8	-7	15	14.1	17.6	-3.57	15.5	16.2	-0.70
Udonis Haslem	68	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.55	4	-3	7	15.2	14.3	0.98	15.1	17.1	-2.08
Dwyane Wade	72	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-3	7	14.6	16.2	-1.66	16.0	14.7	1.32
Jermaine O'Neal	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	15.5	14.2	1.33	16.8	14.2	2.64
James Jones	76	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-6	13	14.7	16.1	-1.43	16.1	14.1	1.99
Michael Beasley	57	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-5	11	14.4	15.7	-1.30	16.1	15.1	1.05
Daequan Cook	37	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	8	-15	16.4	14.1	2.28	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Joel Anthony	16	17	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	12	-23	14.6	15.0	-0.48	12.6	16.4	-3.79
Carlos Arroyo	25	25	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.06	-10	11	-21	16.9	14.3	2.66	15.7	15.7	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.84,0.72,0.62,0.43,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.36,0.25,0.39,0.45,0.54,0.33,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.6,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.18,1	90.8%
UTA 88, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.26,0.34,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.42,1	90.1%
TOR 87, SEA 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.15,0.26,1	90.1%