NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	11.1 [26]		MVP	Al Harrington (NYK): +34.0%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	4.9 [511]		LVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): -32.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.09,0.27	-0.14	0.40	-0.01	15	31%	0.37	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0.23	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.23	0.19	0.06	0.02	17	75%	0.33	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.05
Kendrick Perkins	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	73%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Marquis Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	59%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shelden Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	13	41%	-0.11	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.09
Ray Allen	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	13	41%	0.05	3	-0.22	6	100%	0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.00	21	62%	0.37	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.11
David Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.18	0.00	12	67%	0.43	5	-0.21	9	89%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.06	-0.01	11	76%	0.23	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	6	23%	-0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.22	-0.01	13	41%	-0.09	4	-0.20	1	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.12	-0.19	0.01	11	18%	-0.30	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	34.4	17.4	24.6	2.6	42.0	2.5	16.1	168.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.9%

NYK -4.0%

BOS +8.2%

BOS +0.6%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	15.3	102.9	101.0	106.0
season	15.5	14.7		105.7	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.7	16.1	17.0	15.5	20.6	16.2
NYK	14.1	13.9	13.8	16.5	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	78	76	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.71	12	-10	22	16.7	14.7	2.04	14.9	12.7	2.20
Kevin Garnett	63	63	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.59	8	-6	14	16.2	16.3	-0.16	14.9	13.5	1.39
Paul Pierce	82	82	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-7	16	16.5	15.2	1.26	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Kendrick Perkins	73	71	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.47	6	-4	10	16.3	15.9	0.41	15.2	12.6	2.61
Rajon Rondo	86	85	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	-2	6	16.1	16.8	-0.74	14.8	12.4	2.43
Rasheed Wallace	31	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	6	-10	15.9	16.3	-0.41	12.6	15.2	-2.59
Shelden Williams	19	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	3	-4	17.0	16.0	0.95	11.7	14.9	-3.25
Eddie House	35	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	7	-12	15.5	16.6	-1.11	13.4	14.9	-1.51
Brian Scalabrine	22	23	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.18	-5	7	-12	15.7	16.4	-0.63	15.0	14.2	0.77
Marquis Daniels	31	32	-0.71	1.21	-1.93	-0.30	-14	16	-30	15.4	16.6	-1.14	13.3	14.8	-1.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	51	50	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.19	3	-5	8	14.4	14.4	-0.01	15.0	17.3	-2.27
Eddy Curry	33	32	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	13.2	14.9	-1.63	15.2	16.7	-1.40
Toney Douglas	14	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	11.9	14.7	-2.80	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Nate Robinson	52	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-2	2	14.0	14.7	-0.79	16.5	15.9	0.55
Al Harrington	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-2	2	14.8	13.2	1.60	16.2	16.1	0.10
Larry Hughes	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.0	1.93	16.5	15.6	0.82
David Lee	71	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	0	-2	14.9	13.2	1.63	16.7	15.2	1.40
Chris Duhon	93	92	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.51	-2	0	-2	14.2	15.9	-1.74	16.2	16.7	-0.60
Wilson Chandler	55	58	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.70	-4	2	-6	14.3	14.4	-0.06	16.9	15.4	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.13,0.23,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.23,0.27,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 88, CLE 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.17,0.09,0	89.9%
UTA 93, LAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.3,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.53,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.55,0.15,0.26,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.05,0	88.5%
CLE 101, DET 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.7,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.1,0.28,0	88.3%