inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 94 Excitement2.2 [1276] MVPVince Carter (ORL): +10.2%
Orlando Magic 108 Comeback1.1 [1274] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -8.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.170.000.101475%0.091-0.024100%0.01
Etan Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.000.01257%0.0200.00367%-0.00
Kevin Ollie0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
DJ White0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06580%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Weaver0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.07679%0.0010.002100%-0.00
Jeff Green-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001342%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.04367%-0.011-0.00367%-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.05425%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.011138%-0.032-0.024100%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.130.00-0.051239%-0.015-0.08757%-0.02

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.00-0.041360%0.101-0.004100%0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.001150%0.0400.002100%-0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03764%0.0420.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.000.044112%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01567%0.051-0.02580%0.00
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.00861%0.072-0.03757%-0.01
Rashard Lewis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001650%0.021-0.00250%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03440%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01761%0.002-0.00425%-0.02
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04250%0.0020.0000%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.530.313.827.32.326.7128.0
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +38.5%
OKC -1.6%
ORL +3.8%
ORL +7.8%
ORL +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCORLNBAOKCORLNBA
this game15.014.415.396.9109.1106.0
season15.015.4106.2110.1
opponent15.915.5101.9103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC18.714.013.314.415.0
ORL13.217.912.414.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DJ White2828-0.00-0.500.50-0.4716-304614.415.3-0.8813.814.6-0.77
Kyle Weaver3132-0.01-0.490.49-0.3612-263814.415.3-0.9813.814.7-0.88
Etan Thomas1414-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-8219.314.34.9815.814.11.64
Serge Ibaka4849-0.14-0.360.21-0.08-2-121013.416.6-3.2614.514.30.19
Kevin Ollie3737-0.19-0.310.13-0.397-212815.214.90.3615.213.91.26
Nick Collison3435-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-8216.114.41.7314.814.20.62
Nenad Krstic2324-0.22-0.280.050.16-13-1-1216.314.61.6314.214.4-0.22
James Harden6062-0.23-0.270.04-0.385-192414.715.5-0.7115.512.43.10
Russell Westbrook5455-0.31-0.19-0.120.19-173-2014.915.1-0.1714.214.6-0.35
Kevin Durant5354-0.31-0.19-0.120.22-184-2214.915.2-0.2514.114.7-0.54
Thabo Sefolosha5152-0.31-0.19-0.120.36-239-3214.515.5-0.9913.115.8-2.73
Jeff Green5253-0.44-0.06-0.370.30-2511-3615.714.31.3614.214.6-0.48

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rashard Lewis70670.490.010.47-0.3629-154414.314.5-0.1515.015.0-0.02
Jason Williams60590.390.110.27-0.4127-134013.615.5-1.8814.915.2-0.36
Mickael Pietrus65630.380.120.27-0.3826-123814.015.1-1.0915.114.90.17
Vince Carter56540.380.120.26-0.3023-93214.414.30.1715.414.60.79
Dwight Howard38380.290.210.07-0.3020-62612.815.4-2.6115.115.00.10
Marcin Gortat48470.210.29-0.070.16212-1015.613.22.3915.314.80.54
Ryan Anderson38390.130.37-0.240.45-1125-3615.114.01.1015.414.80.57
JJ Redick43430.120.38-0.260.39-923-3214.314.4-0.1714.615.4-0.79
Anthony Johnson39380.110.39-0.270.50-1327-4015.513.61.8815.214.90.36
Matt Barnes25250.000.50-0.500.47-1630-4614.414.40.0914.415.2-0.89
Brandon Bass13120.000.50-0.500.23-822-3014.514.30.1913.715.2-1.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 98, SAS 1230.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.0%
NYK 93, CLE 1240.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
CHI 76, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%