NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Excitement	5.2 [756]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +8.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.8 [1030]		LVP	Jonny Flynn (MIN): -15.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Hollins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.13	0.03	0.08	9	79%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	8	59%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Nathan Jawai	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	68%	0.05	7	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	19	40%	-0.11	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	14	36%	-0.05	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.06	0.03	8	100%	0.25	6	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	65%	0.10	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	14	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	43%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	17	47%	-0.01	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	25.5	16.5	24.3	2.5	34.5	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +27.9%

MEM +14.8%

MEM +18.9%

MIN -14.5%

MEM +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	15.1	15.3	87.9	98.0	106.0
season	14.7	15.4		100.1	106.8
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	12.2	17.4	12.3	14.0
MEM	16.8	16.2	13.9	13.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-10	10	14.3	13.8	0.51	15.9	14.6	1.31
Brian Cardinal	38	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-6	2	12.9	14.6	-1.70	15.7	14.8	0.86
Jonny Flynn	62	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-7	4	14.1	13.8	0.30	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Oleksiy Pecherov	27	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-4	-2	13.0	14.3	-1.38	16.6	14.7	1.93
Wayne Ellington	18	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	16.2	13.5	2.69	15.3	15.1	0.21
Nathan Jawai	50	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	0	-10	15.2	12.7	2.45	15.5	14.7	0.77
Corey Brewer	73	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-6	2	13.4	15.6	-2.23	15.2	14.8	0.37
Ramon Sessions	56	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-5	0	12.7	15.6	-2.81	14.5	16.0	-1.54
Ryan Hollins	59	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-7	4	14.9	12.6	2.21	14.6	16.1	-1.49
Ryan Gomes	71	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.1	13.7	0.31	14.6	16.7	-2.13

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.01	19	-9	28	15.0	15.5	-0.50	15.5	9.2	6.29
Rudy Gay	84	83	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-3	16	15.1	15.3	-0.17	14.0	13.7	0.26
DeMarre Carroll	54	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	4	2	15.2	15.0	0.26	13.1	15.1	-2.01
Sam Young	38	35	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	14.4	15.5	-1.09	15.1	13.3	1.81
Mike Conley	64	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	3	4	15.0	15.3	-0.34	14.6	12.9	1.76
Marcus Williams	35	37	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.14	3	7	-4	15.3	15.0	0.34	12.9	14.6	-1.76
Zach Randolph	60	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	6	-2	15.5	14.5	1.05	13.4	14.9	-1.47
O.J. Mayo	69	70	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	10	-10	14.6	16.3	-1.64	13.7	14.6	-0.87
Steven Hunter	16	17	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	18	-26	17.6	14.6	2.99	10.6	14.7	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 83, TOR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ORL 93, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1	94.4%