NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	105		Excitement	5.3 [735]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (GSW): +36.1%
Golden State Warriors	113		Comeback	3.0 [691]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -12.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.04	0.05	18	66%	0.16	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Sam Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.07	13	44%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Allen Iverson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	60%	0.09	4	-0.08	6	33%	-0.05
Trey Gilder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	11	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Zach Randolph	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.03	9	62%	0.02	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.03
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	10	38%	-0.02	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.23	0.12	-0.02	12	100%	0.37	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.05	17	53%	0.13	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	16	54%	0.10	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	23	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	32.8	14.5	29.3	2.6	29.4	135.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +44.1%

GSW +3.5%

MEM -11.7%

GSW +12.6%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	14.9	13.6	15.3	104.0	111.9	106.0
season	15.4	13.4		106.8	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.0		110.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.3	15.5	16.4	13.4	14.9
GSW	12.3	13.3	13.6	15.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Gilder	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	4.0	15.0	-10.98	19.0	13.5	5.46
Hasheem Thabeet	8	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-7	6	12.5	15.1	-2.58	14.9	13.5	1.39
Marcus Williams	10	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-4	0	14.4	14.9	-0.52	14.4	13.6	0.88
DeMarre Carroll	26	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	15.0	14.8	0.12	14.0	13.5	0.53
Zach Randolph	79	80	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-14	20	15.0	14.4	0.65	13.7	13.6	0.09
Allen Iverson	57	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-7	6	15.2	14.4	0.78	13.9	13.3	0.68
Sam Young	22	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	3	-14	14.5	15.0	-0.53	13.3	13.7	-0.39
Marc Gasol	87	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-6	4	15.2	13.1	2.09	13.6	13.8	-0.18
O.J. Mayo	74	71	-0.35	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-2	-4	15.1	14.2	0.94	13.8	13.2	0.58
Rudy Gay	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-6	4	14.7	15.4	-0.70	13.6	13.6	0.02
Mike Conley	65	65	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.03	-17	9	-26	14.6	15.4	-0.85	12.7	15.4	-2.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	68	69	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.11	24	-16	40	13.9	13.2	0.69	15.1	14.4	0.73
Stephen Jackson	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.23	13	-5	18	13.9	12.7	1.28	14.8	15.0	-0.11
Monta Ellis	98	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-4	16	13.4	20.7	-7.24	15.1	4.5	10.58
Corey Maggette	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	1	6	13.5	13.9	-0.49	15.0	14.7	0.26
Mikki Moore	47	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	7	-6	13.3	13.9	-0.57	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Andris Biedrins	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	3	2	13.7	13.6	0.16	16.0	14.1	1.91
Anthony Randolph	15	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	6	-4	14.3	13.5	0.81	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Stephen Curry	61	60	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	12	-16	13.5	13.9	-0.47	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Kelenna Azubuike	36	34	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.27	-20	28	-48	13.8	13.6	0.25	13.8	15.4	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 86, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIA 85, MIL 109	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.6,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
UTA 108, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%