NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	11.0 [28]		MVP	Metta World Peace (LAL): +17.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	2.4 [690]		LVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): -77.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.10	0.01	8	83%	0.30	4	-0.13	8	75%	-0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.06	-0.01	15	65%	0.12	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.08
Luke Walton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.10	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.15	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.08,-0.05,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	22	53%	0.18	7	-0.33	14	86%	0.08
Lamar Odom	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	11	54%	-0.01	4	-0.17	2	0%	-0.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	9	67%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	12	64%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.08
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	9	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35	-0.35	-0.12	-0.24	-0.01	12	44%	-0.04	6	-0.31	3	67%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.43,-0.48,-0.54,-0.54,-0.63,-0.77	-0.77	-0.09	-0.67	0.02	24	50%	-0.35	7	-0.42	8	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	29.0	15.8	25.2	2.5	35.3	0.7	18.3	155.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.3%

LAL +8.4%

LAL +6.2%

OKC -25.1%

LAL +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	16.3	15.3	97.1	93.3	106.0
season	15.7	15.0		107.9	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.0	14.7	13.1	16.0	12.0	14.1
OKC	17.9	15.9	14.6	18.3	14.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	72	73	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.34	16	-13	29	13.5	15.5	-1.97	15.4	18.4	-2.96
Andrew Bynum	96	97	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-6	15	14.4	11.0	3.36	15.9	20.9	-4.94
Lamar Odom	87	88	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.41	7	-4	11	13.4	17.7	-4.30	15.9	18.3	-2.36
Kobe Bryant	92	92	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-2	7	13.4	19.7	-6.29	15.9	18.9	-2.98
Metta World Peace	81	84	0.06	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	1	1	14.6	12.3	2.31	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Luke Walton	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	12.6	14.3	-1.64	20.0	15.9	4.07
DJ Mbenga	2	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	20.5	14.0	6.52	19.3	16.2	3.11
Jordan Farmar	14	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	8	-13	13.7	14.2	-0.45	19.1	15.9	3.21
Sasha Vujacic	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	18.5	13.5	5.07	18.9	15.9	2.98
Josh Powell	22	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	9	-15	15.6	13.7	1.88	19.1	15.6	3.51
Shannon Brown	18	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	11	-19	16.8	13.5	3.30	17.8	16.0	1.73

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	30	32	0.38	-0.88	1.27	-0.09	16	-19	35	17.8	15.7	2.08	15.1	13.7	1.38
Nick Collison	28	27	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-11	19	19.6	15.1	4.44	16.2	13.4	2.81
Kevin Ollie	33	33	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.00	6	-9	15	19.7	14.8	4.89	14.5	13.9	0.60
Etan Thomas	65	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-7	11	17.6	14.1	3.50	14.8	13.0	1.81
Nenad Krstic	40	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	4	-11	14.1	17.6	-3.50	13.0	14.8	-1.81
Kevin Durant	91	91	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-2	1	15.9	19.1	-3.26	13.5	18.4	-4.89
Russell Westbrook	72	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.41	-9	6	-15	14.8	19.7	-4.89	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Jeff Green	91	89	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.33	-13	10	-23	15.7	20.0	-4.25	14.2	13.5	0.67
Thabo Sefolosha	75	73	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.32	-19	16	-35	15.7	17.8	-2.08	13.6	15.4	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.49,0.6,0.47,0.21,0.33,0.23,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 106, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	89.8%
SAC 114, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.09,0	89.6%
PHX 88, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.43,0.08,0	88.7%