NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	88		Excitement	9.5 [77]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +28.6%
New York Knicks	84		Comeback	1.6 [453]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -28.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.29	0.06	0.22	-0.00	12	70%	0.32	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	8	78%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	5	36%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	16	42%	0.04	5	-0.21	6	33%	-0.03
Clifford Robinson	-0.28	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.19	-0.01	17	36%	-0.24	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	22	58%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	7	45%	-0.04	2	-0.11	6	83%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.06,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.13	0.02	16	55%	0.09	3	-0.25	6	100%	0.04
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	8	28%	-0.12	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29	-0.29	-0.15	-0.18	-0.04	12	29%	-0.08	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	29.3	16.4	22.7	2.5	28.4	1.4	14.6	142.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.3%

NYK -26.5%

NYK -25.9%

PHX +51.6%

PHX +13.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	16.1	17.2	15.5	90.7	89.4	100.9
season	14.9	16.4		97.7	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		96.6	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	14.4	15.4	16.7	18.2	16.4	16.1
NYK	16.3	18.9	16.0	17.8	17.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	36	35	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.34	10	-6	16	17.4	15.4	1.97	18.3	16.5	1.79
Clifford Robinson	73	69	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-4	12	16.2	15.8	0.39	17.1	17.4	-0.34
Jake Tsakalidis	48	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.29	9	-5	14	16.5	15.8	0.66	17.3	17.1	0.25
Shawn Marion	77	74	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.46	2	2	0	16.2	15.8	0.41	16.8	18.5	-1.66
Jason Kidd	90	86	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.41	1	3	-2	16.1	16.3	-0.17	17.0	18.9	-1.84
Rodney Rogers	34	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	15.8	16.3	-0.55	18.8	16.3	2.46
Mario Elie	45	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	15.2	16.9	-1.76	16.3	17.9	-1.60
Tony Delk	25	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.09	-4	8	-12	15.2	16.4	-1.24	17.3	17.2	0.12
Tom Gugliotta	57	57	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.01	-8	12	-20	16.2	16.0	0.21	16.9	17.6	-0.75

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	42	44	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.20	2	-6	8	18.3	16.3	2.02	14.9	17.1	-2.18
Larry Johnson	76	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-6	8	16.5	20.1	-3.61	16.2	15.9	0.22
Charlie Ward	61	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	16.8	17.9	-1.15	16.3	15.8	0.46
Kurt Thomas	33	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-2	0	19.3	16.0	3.25	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Mark Jackson	22	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	1	-6	18.5	16.8	1.71	15.6	16.3	-0.73
Allan Houston	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-4	4	16.7	19.4	-2.79	16.6	14.2	2.36
Latrell Sprewell	81	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.24	-6	2	-8	17.1	18.0	-0.94	16.2	15.8	0.41
Marcus Camby	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.27	-8	4	-12	17.0	18.3	-1.36	16.5	14.4	2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.43,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.24,0.1,0	92.0%
SAC 114, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.09,0	91.5%
ORL 105, GSW 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.04,0	89.4%