inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement9.6 [72] MVPAvery Johnson (SAS): +10.2%
Los Angeles Lakers 89 Comeback2.3 [338] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -32.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Johnson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.10.010.09-0.00862%0.162-0.0600%0.00
David Robinson0.090,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09-0.010.05-0.04952%0.0610.033100%0.09
Samaki Walker0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00569%0.061-0.023100%0.03
Antonio Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.020.00558%0.0100.002100%0.01
Shawnelle Scott0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Dial0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01350%-0.0000.00250%0.00
Terry Porter-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.00812%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.12-0.14-0.031750%-0.046-0.19887%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.320,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32-0.15-0.18-0.002146%-0.172-0.152152%-0.19

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.080.08-0.040.10-0.013351%0.324-0.24875%0.07
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.010.00333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Penberthy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.040.00560%0.021-0.0600%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.01-0.0170%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.070.0030%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.07-0.00837%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.09-0.200.022352%-0.173-0.131850%-0.13
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.52.831.216.728.82.732.32.414.4155.6
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +14.3%
SAS +32.2%
LAL -10.2%
SAS +18.5%
LAL -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game17.217.215.5101.195.7100.9
season15.915.6103.4106.8
opponent15.215.5101.896.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS14.619.017.518.216.917.2
LAL16.019.916.817.814.817.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Avery Johnson54570.78-0.281.070.3216-122817.217.20.0017.317.10.23
Antonio Daniels58590.60-0.100.700.5713-217.916.01.8817.017.5-0.44
David Robinson63630.56-0.060.620.309-51417.117.3-0.1318.714.14.62
Derek Anderson87860.480.020.460.3931216.922.6-5.7316.624.6-7.98
Tim Duncan78780.450.050.400.3922017.614.72.9117.316.60.71
Shawnelle Scott230.000.50-0.490.0004-416.017.2-1.218.017.5-9.50
Samaki Walker3939-0.040.54-0.570.02-26-816.717.5-0.8516.317.9-1.57
Danny Ferry4547-0.110.61-0.72-0.08-15-616.417.9-1.4517.317.00.30
Terry Porter3433-0.240.74-0.99-0.01-812-2017.517.00.4517.517.00.45

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Penberthy19190.01-0.510.52-0.238-122015.317.7-2.4317.717.00.70
Robert Horry3635-0.08-0.420.35-0.080-4415.218.4-3.1717.017.3-0.34
Mark Madsen54-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-2-2013.617.4-3.8018.017.10.85
Rick Fox4040-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-1-217.516.90.5816.217.9-1.74
Devean George2422-0.16-0.340.170.01-62-817.017.2-0.2016.517.4-0.84
Shaquille O'Neal8586-0.23-0.270.05-0.344-81217.414.72.6717.414.72.69
Horace Grant6868-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.30-1-3218.014.93.1617.317.00.31
Brian Shaw5658-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.35-1-3217.317.00.3717.317.00.25
Kobe Bryant7675-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.36-40-417.316.80.5217.316.90.37
Tyronn Lue5653-0.700.20-0.89-0.26-1511-2617.616.60.9917.516.80.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.24,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 88, NYK 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.46,0.53,0.28,0.43,0.08,092.0%
ORL 105, GSW 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.26,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.04,090.2%
PHI 122, CHA 1190.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.49,0.41,0.19,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.23,0.16,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.14,0.08,089.9%