NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	3.2 [1136]		MVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): +8.4%
Miami Heat	115		Comeback	1.5 [902]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -6.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	13	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Darko Milicic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.17	-0.00	0.17	14	73%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Landry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.19	0.00	-0.15	8	6%	-0.03	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	0.01	0.08	18	50%	-0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	79%	0.09	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.02	0.06	12	85%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	10	60%	0.10	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.01	0.04	14	70%	0.09	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	3	67%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	9	42%	0.00	3	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.01	0.07	22	51%	0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	26.6	16.3	26.7	2.4	26.9	127.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +50.0%

NYK -1.9%

MIA +1.7%

NYK -2.7%

MIA +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.7	15.3	93.9	117.3	106.0
season	14.7	16.2		105.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.5		102.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.1	16.1	14.1	13.2	13.5
MIA	15.1	15.9	13.1	19.5	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Landry	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	13.3	13.5	-0.21	21.7	15.5	6.14
Jordan Hill	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	13.3	13.5	-0.21	21.7	15.5	6.14
Darko Milicic	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-25	28	14.1	13.3	0.80	16.8	15.2	1.62
Nate Robinson	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-19	16	14.2	13.0	1.22	15.9	15.6	0.30
Toney Douglas	14	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-18	14	12.8	13.7	-0.87	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Wilson Chandler	77	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	-14	6	13.2	14.6	-1.36	16.2	13.8	2.42
Danilo Gallinari	57	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-11	0	13.9	13.1	0.81	15.9	15.5	0.40
Al Harrington	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.30	-23	1	-24	13.9	13.0	0.90	14.6	17.7	-3.07
Chris Duhon	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.35	-26	4	-30	13.4	13.8	-0.38	15.1	17.1	-2.00
David Lee	64	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.29	-24	2	-26	13.3	14.0	-0.67	15.0	17.1	-2.13
Jared Jeffries	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-4	-14	13.1	14.7	-1.52	16.3	14.1	2.23

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.49	35	-13	48	14.3	21.1	-6.83	13.2	14.8	-1.58
Mario Chalmers	66	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.44	33	-11	44	14.5	18.3	-3.86	13.1	14.4	-1.24
Quentin Richardson	39	39	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.26	24	-2	26	13.6	17.1	-3.44	12.5	14.2	-1.69
Jermaine O'Neal	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.40	28	-6	34	14.8	17.3	-2.47	13.2	14.1	-0.86
Michael Beasley	73	74	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	4	14	16.0	14.8	1.23	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Daequan Cook	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.28	-7	29	-36	17.4	14.6	2.81	14.2	13.1	1.20
Joel Anthony	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	28	-34	17.3	14.8	2.47	14.1	13.2	0.86
Udonis Haslem	58	59	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	22	-22	16.8	14.1	2.73	14.3	12.4	1.86
James Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	21.7	15.5	6.14	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Dorell Wright	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	21.7	15.5	6.14	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Carlos Arroyo	32	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.29	-11	33	-44	18.3	14.5	3.86	14.4	13.1	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.82,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 56, BOS 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NOP 107, GSW 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIL 95, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%