NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	8.0 [229]		MVP	Shannon Brown (LAL): +25.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	2.9 [443]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -15.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.13	0.00	4	125%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.02	13	61%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.12,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	24	53%	0.11	3	-0.08	12	92%	0.07
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Andrew Bynum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.06
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.16	0.00	18	57%	0.26	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Steve Blake	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.14	-0.01	13	55%	0.20	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	75%	0.18	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Greg Oden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.03	5	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.07
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	18	40%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	0.02	8	42%	-0.01	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	30.1	15.7	27.2	2.6	39.3	143.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.9%

POR +2.2%

POR +8.8%

POR +15.5%

POR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	16.8	15.5	110.1	116.5	106.4
season	14.9	16.7		110.6	111.0
opponent	16.0	15.4		105.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.9	15.3	16.5	15.2	15.2
POR	15.5	16.0	17.8	18.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	32	33	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-18	28	16.2	14.6	1.56	17.7	16.3	1.47
Luke Walton	40	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-8	8	15.9	14.6	1.38	16.4	17.1	-0.77
Jordan Farmar	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-7	6	16.5	15.0	1.44	13.5	17.2	-3.69
Shannon Brown	33	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-7	6	16.3	14.5	1.82	18.2	15.9	2.31
Andrew Bynum	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	1	-10	15.3	15.0	0.30	18.0	14.8	3.14
Lamar Odom	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-10	12	15.6	14.5	1.16	16.2	17.7	-1.59
Derek Fisher	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	14.1	16.3	-2.22	16.8	16.8	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	68	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.27	-7	-1	-6	14.5	17.5	-2.99	16.6	17.4	-0.75
Pau Gasol	68	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	0	-8	14.7	16.7	-1.93	16.3	18.3	-2.00
Trevor Ariza	39	40	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.19	-17	9	-26	14.8	15.5	-0.75	16.4	17.1	-0.61

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	47	47	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.02	21	-13	34	15.8	17.8	-1.99	16.5	13.7	2.75
Steve Blake	71	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	16.6	17.3	-0.72	14.6	17.5	-2.97
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	74	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.25	7	1	6	17.1	15.0	2.14	15.2	15.0	0.23
Joel Przybilla	49	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	16.9	16.7	0.23	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Brandon Roy	73	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	6	-4	16.5	17.9	-1.44	14.4	18.4	-4.01
Travis Outlaw	44	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	0	8	15.7	17.8	-2.02	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Greg Oden	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	7	-6	16.7	16.9	-0.23	16.5	14.0	2.57
Sergio Rodriguez	20	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	12	-16	17.3	16.6	0.72	17.5	14.6	2.97
Nicolas Batum	36	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	18	-28	17.9	16.1	1.82	14.2	15.9	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	91.1%
DET 92, SAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.96,1	90.9%
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	90.9%