NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	140		Excitement	10.9 [40]		MVP	Zach Randolph (LAC): +50.2%
New York Knicks	135		Comeback	13.6 [46]		LVP	Eric Gordon (LAC): -18.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.50	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.5	0.18	0.35	0.02	21	75%	0.59	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.09
Mike Taylor	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.32,0.4,0.36	0.22	0.15	0.00	20	74%	0.48	2	-0.12	7	100%	0.03
Al Thornton	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24	0.10	0.10	-0.03	14	66%	0.33	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Baron Davis	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	-0.05	0.17	-0.05	13	50%	0.24	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.01	5	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Eric Gordon	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	16	51%	-0.10	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.23	0.15	-0.02	21	75%	0.43	3	-0.03	9	89%	0.07
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.3	0.30	0.05	0.24	-0.01	10	59%	0.36	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	8	81%	0.14	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	56%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	2	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	10	48%	0.11	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1,-0.09,-0.02,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.06	0.00	20	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.12	0.02	7	95%	0.19	5	-0.26	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	27.6	16.4	22.3	1.7	39.1	2.5	16.2	151.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.0%

NYK -20.7%

LAC +5.6%

LAC +13.7%

LAC +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NYK	NBA	LAC	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	12.9	15.5	126.1	122.7	106.4
season	15.7	13.8		100.7	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.1	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.0	13.2	19.0	16.2	14.5	15.9
NYK	10.6	14.5	12.3	14.4	12.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Taylor	75	76	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.23	20	-15	35	15.8	16.0	-0.16	13.4	11.7	1.69
Eric Gordon	94	92	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	-1	7	15.9	15.9	-0.02	12.5	14.8	-2.25
Zach Randolph	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	5	-5	16.8	13.7	3.09	12.6	13.6	-1.02
Al Thornton	86	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	7	-9	16.2	14.7	1.48	12.3	15.0	-2.72
Baron Davis	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	5	-5	15.5	16.6	-1.09	13.1	12.6	0.46
Fred Jones	70	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	-5	15	16.1	15.5	0.60	13.1	12.5	0.55
Steve Novak	16	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.10	6	-1	7	12.2	16.5	-4.30	13.5	12.8	0.70
Chris Kaman	31	30	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.12	5	0	5	13.9	16.6	-2.68	13.9	12.5	1.42
Marcus Camby	31	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.30	-20	25	-45	17.0	15.4	1.53	13.0	12.8	0.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	50	51	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-12	19	11.6	14.0	-2.35	15.9	15.8	0.07
Nate Robinson	35	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	2	-9	14.1	12.3	1.74	16.3	15.7	0.57
Chris Wilcox	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	1	-7	14.3	12.5	1.83	12.9	16.6	-3.78
Jared Jeffries	48	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	6	-17	13.9	12.1	1.84	14.5	16.9	-2.43
David Lee	71	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-8	11	12.4	13.7	-1.31	17.5	12.8	4.68
Al Harrington	88	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.48	4	-9	13	12.7	13.5	-0.75	15.7	16.7	-0.99
Chris Duhon	89	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-8	11	12.5	14.7	-2.24	16.3	14.2	2.04
Wilson Chandler	88	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.30	-6	1	-7	12.6	14.3	-1.72	15.6	17.0	-1.42
Larry Hughes	57	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	7	-19	13.8	11.9	1.92	16.0	15.7	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.15,0.57,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 114, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.22,0.42,0	88.1%
GSW 132, POR 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.28,0.27,0.53,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.74,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.34,0,0	87.0%
NYK 102, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.78,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.17,0	87.0%