NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	101		Excitement	6.4 [523]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +17.1%
Washington Wizards	99		Comeback	3.4 [625]		LVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): -8.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	14	60%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	14	43%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	61%	0.11	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Derrick Rose	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	15	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	12	64%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.04	27	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	9	55%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	15	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.07
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	25.2	15.7	30.2	2.7	39.2	138.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.3%

CHI +6.7%

WAS -7.8%

WAS -1.7%

CHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	16.5	15.5	108.6	105.3	106.4
season	14.8	15.9		106.3	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		111.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	17.3	10.9	16.5	14.3
WAS	16.2	18.7	15.8	15.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	53	52	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-9	20	13.3	15.7	-2.44	17.3	15.4	1.95
Ben Gordon	58	60	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	-4	10	12.5	17.3	-4.83	15.3	18.6	-3.29
Derrick Rose	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.36	3	-1	4	14.9	12.1	2.80	16.7	15.4	1.36
John Salmons	80	81	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.48	-5	7	-12	13.7	18.3	-4.62	15.5	22.2	-6.70
Kirk Hinrich	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.24	-3	5	-8	15.3	13.2	2.13	17.0	15.8	1.23
Brad Miller	57	59	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	6	-10	15.9	11.8	4.08	16.6	16.3	0.27
Tyrus Thomas	56	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	4	-6	14.6	13.9	0.78	16.0	17.1	-1.04
Tim Thomas	36	36	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	14.7	14.1	0.63	18.4	15.3	3.13

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	17	18	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-5	8	17.4	16.2	1.17	13.7	14.5	-0.83
Oleksiy Pecherov	18	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-2	2	18.8	15.9	2.87	16.8	13.8	2.98
JaVale McGee	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-6	10	15.4	17.3	-1.88	15.1	13.7	1.39
Andray Blatche	60	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	5	-12	17.3	14.9	2.42	14.1	14.8	-0.77
Mike James	72	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	15.3	20.3	-4.98	13.4	17.2	-3.79
Javaris Crittenton	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-2	2	16.3	16.7	-0.36	15.5	12.9	2.61
Dominic McGuire	82	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	2	-6	16.6	15.5	1.10	14.3	14.5	-0.24
Antawn Jamison	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-3	4	15.8	19.4	-3.61	13.5	18.3	-4.81
Nick Young	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	9	-20	17.7	14.9	2.76	14.8	13.7	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.14,0.16,0.01,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, NJN 83	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.08,0.22,0.1,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.5%
NYK 94, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.5%
BOS 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0	93.1%