inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 129 Excitement12.8 [11] MVPJames Jones (MIA): +34.0%
Miami Heat 140 Comeback157.7 [4] LVPBrevin Knight (UTA): -10.7%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.170.130.03-0.021676%0.313-0.141100%0.01
Andrei Kirilenko0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1-0.020.10-0.011148%0.132-0.04367%-0.02
Mehmet Okur0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09-0.020.05-0.051054%0.213-0.12475%0.00
Paul Millsap0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00664%0.111-0.05250%-0.02
Ronnie Brewer0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.02,0.020.04-0.010.00858%0.061-0.04875%0.01
Deron Williams0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.06,-0.01,0.07,-0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.03-0.022457%0.265-0.255100%0.03
CJ Miles-0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.01560%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.080,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.00-0.08-0.011849%0.042-0.12580%0.05
Brevin Knight-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.061-0.0500%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.340.340.060.28-0.01564%0.3400.00475%0.11
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.050.190.01767%0.271-0.044100%0.11
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.100.021958%0.243-0.111080%0.04
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.040.00383%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,00.000.11-0.070.031464%0.071-0.068100%0.03
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01840%-0.0100.004100%0.03
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.10-0.110.023957%0.186-0.21989%0.07
Jamario Moon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01721%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2 OT3Total
this game23.91.830.815.830.02.537.52.412.22.511.12.512.2185.4
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.42.041.42.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA -61.3%
MIA +66.7%
MIA +25.8%
MIA +28.3%
UTA -9.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMIANBAUTAMIANBA
this game15.515.515.5105.7114.8106.4
season15.316.0107.7105.9
opponent15.715.0105.7105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
UTA14.316.314.516.116.115.5
MIA17.015.015.615.914.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Millsap49470.23-0.730.970.124-151915.715.30.3616.415.01.43
Brevin Knight23210.20-0.700.900.026-172315.815.40.4516.115.40.75
Andrei Kirilenko37380.07-0.570.650.19-4-7317.014.82.1715.715.40.31
CJ Miles3031-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-5-114.215.9-1.6716.215.30.90
Kyle Korver9392-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-5-6115.714.61.1415.116.7-1.60
Ronnie Brewer6764-0.510.01-0.52-0.30-7-4-314.217.0-2.7715.915.10.77
Mehmet Okur103105-0.590.09-0.68-0.12-165-2115.813.81.9815.615.00.61
Carlos Boozer9191-0.630.13-0.76-0.33-10-1-915.016.8-1.8515.116.7-1.59
Deron Williams99101-0.700.20-0.90-0.20-176-2315.415.8-0.4515.416.1-0.75

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones51510.66-0.160.810.1916-52115.215.7-0.5015.315.6-0.28
Dwyane Wade1031040.58-0.080.660.29101915.117.7-2.6215.217.0-1.81
Mario Chalmers1031010.58-0.080.660.1415-41915.714.80.8715.913.62.28
Udonis Haslem1051060.53-0.030.550.23101915.018.5-3.4915.117.9-2.78
Jermaine O'Neal95910.420.080.350.0712-11315.515.7-0.1815.714.80.92
Jamaal Magloire780.050.45-0.39-0.0647-315.315.5-0.2517.515.32.18
Jamario Moon6363-0.040.54-0.570.11-516-2115.915.20.6915.016.0-0.98
Michael Beasley3638-0.130.63-0.75-0.01-415-1917.114.92.2515.815.30.44
Luther Head3839-0.160.66-0.82-0.07-314-1716.315.21.0715.215.6-0.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.35,0.18,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.01,0.09,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.33,0.74,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.84,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 110, ORL 1000.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.53,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.25,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.19,0.29,0.06,0,083.5%
VAN 112, SAC 1080.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.14,0.13,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.08,082.8%
GSW 116, LAL 1140.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.25,0.24,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.42,082.6%