NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	5.5 [732]		MVP	Leon Powe (BOS): +20.7%
Boston Celtics	102		Comeback	2.0 [1130]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -16.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	20	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	2	80%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.03	0.02	23	45%	0.04	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	50%	-0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.03	0.04	14	71%	0.21	0	0.00	14	71%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.13	0.02	18	56%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.9	2.6	30.2	15.6	25.2	1.8	31.0	137.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.8%

BOS +4.5%

MEM -3.7%

BOS +9.8%

MEM -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	18.0	14.8	15.5	105.7	114.6	106.4
season	16.1	15.8		101.7	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.3		101.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.6	19.0	18.4	20.1	18.0
BOS	16.0	13.7	14.4	15.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	37	40	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-19	28	16.2	19.2	-2.98	16.5	13.4	3.12
Marko Jaric	16	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	20.8	17.3	3.50	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Darius Miles	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-6	2	20.8	17.1	3.70	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Quinton Ross	25	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	19.7	17.3	2.42	13.9	15.2	-1.37
Marc Gasol	62	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-6	2	16.4	21.8	-5.34	15.4	13.4	2.02
Darko Milicic	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	0	-10	22.7	16.4	6.33	13.2	15.3	-2.12
O.J. Mayo	76	78	-0.29	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-6	2	17.4	22.0	-4.63	14.9	14.0	0.92
Mike Conley	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	17.3	20.8	-3.50	14.9	14.4	0.53
Hakim Warrick	24	24	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	1	-12	17.7	18.0	-0.34	13.2	15.4	-2.19
Rudy Gay	81	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	3	-16	18.0	17.5	0.49	14.9	14.4	0.48

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	38	39	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-2	14	14.6	15.0	-0.45	20.4	16.0	4.45
Leon Powe	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	2	6	14.8	14.8	-0.03	17.3	22.4	-5.05
Kendrick Perkins	48	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	3	4	16.2	13.2	2.99	18.0	17.9	0.11
Paul Pierce	63	60	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-1	12	14.4	15.8	-1.36	17.0	20.0	-2.97
Eddie House	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	3	4	14.9	14.8	0.10	21.2	16.2	5.03
Ray Allen	61	58	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	9	-8	14.8	14.9	-0.17	16.8	20.3	-3.48
Henry Walker	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.22	-1	11	-12	14.6	14.9	-0.36	18.4	17.7	0.70
Stephon Marbury	30	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	4	2	14.3	15.1	-0.72	20.3	16.8	3.48
Rajon Rondo	58	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	7	-4	14.7	15.0	-0.29	16.2	21.2	-5.03
Gabe Pruitt	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	14.2	14.8	-0.59	15.0	18.1	-3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CLE 109, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
PHX 86, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%