NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	79		Excitement	3.1 [1170]		MVP	JJ Redick (ORL): +11.6%
Orlando Magic	107		Comeback	1.0 [1195]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): -13.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joakim Noah	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	12	56%	0.05	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	13	33%	-0.06	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	12	25%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	0.00	-0.05	10	18%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	6	76%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	11	69%	0.09	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	72%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	7	83%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	11	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.06	11	58%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.18	-0.00	-0.05	9	13%	-0.10	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.5	16.5	28.5	1.8	23.5	128.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +31.8%

ORL +1.0%

ORL +4.6%

ORL +10.2%

ORL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	15.5	78.2	108.1	106.4
season	14.8	15.3		106.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		101.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	14.7	14.6	14.9	14.7
ORL	12.8	16.0	12.6	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joakim Noah	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.26	-8	-20	12	14.6	14.8	-0.18	14.8	13.8	1.02
Anthony Roberson	18	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-36	44	15.4	14.6	0.80	15.6	13.7	1.88
Linton Johnson	21	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-35	42	15.1	14.6	0.52	15.5	13.7	1.79
Aaron Gray	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-34	40	15.1	14.6	0.46	15.0	13.8	1.17
Lindsey Hunter	23	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-32	36	14.9	14.7	0.18	15.1	13.7	1.42
Kirk Hinrich	47	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.33	-19	-9	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.22	14.5	13.7	0.74
John Salmons	74	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.52	-29	1	-30	14.1	16.3	-2.18	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Derrick Rose	65	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.26	-21	-7	-14	14.7	14.8	-0.07	14.0	14.2	-0.20
Brad Miller	68	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.42	-29	1	-30	14.9	14.5	0.37	13.4	15.3	-1.92
Tyrus Thomas	77	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.16	-25	-3	-22	15.0	14.0	0.96	13.7	15.1	-1.39
Ben Gordon	65	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.38	-34	6	-40	14.7	14.8	-0.16	13.4	15.3	-1.98

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	67	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.41	31	-3	34	13.4	15.3	-1.90	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Rashard Lewis	52	54	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.26	24	4	20	13.3	14.9	-1.55	14.2	15.4	-1.18
Dwight Howard	46	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.56	33	-5	38	12.5	15.4	-2.87	15.8	13.7	2.07
Rafer Alston	48	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.22	20	8	12	13.4	14.7	-1.33	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Mickael Pietrus	72	76	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.47	27	1	26	13.4	15.9	-2.51	14.9	14.1	0.81
Anthony Johnson	34	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.31	15	13	2	14.2	14.0	0.22	15.1	14.5	0.63
Tony Battie	52	52	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	21	-14	15.1	12.9	2.22	14.9	14.5	0.43
JJ Redick	41	40	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	25	-22	15.4	13.1	2.23	15.6	14.1	1.52
Jeremy Richardson	18	17	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	33	-38	16.1	13.6	2.51	13.6	15.0	-1.31
Marcin Gortat	48	47	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	36	-44	15.2	13.0	2.19	14.0	15.4	-1.33
Tyronn Lue	17	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	35	-42	15.7	13.7	1.99	14.6	14.8	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 63, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIN 94, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MEM 95, NOP 123	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%