NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	8.6 [162]		MVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): +55.1%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	1.1 [1026]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -14.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.45	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.45	0.13	0.30	-0.02	27	59%	0.47	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.10	-0.02	15	71%	0.33	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.10	0.01	12	65%	0.22	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	73%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	16	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.55	0.55	0.11	0.43	-0.01	20	68%	0.65	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.23,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.07	0.24	-0.00	15	58%	0.34	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	7	73%	0.27	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.04
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.00	7	52%	0.12	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	16	42%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	27.2	15.6	26.0	1.8	38.2	137.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.3%

HOU +22.8%

HOU +4.9%

HOU +11.1%

HOU +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	13.0	15.4	15.5	109.8	114.9	106.4
season	14.1	16.3		112.1	105.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.7	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	12.8	13.8	12.7	13.0
HOU	14.6	14.3	16.2	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	33	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-10	16	13.0	12.9	0.07	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Grant Hill	54	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-1	-2	13.8	12.0	1.87	15.1	15.8	-0.66
Robin Lopez	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	4	-12	11.1	13.1	-1.94	12.0	15.7	-3.73
Stromile Swift	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-2	0	11.2	13.5	-2.29	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Matt Barnes	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-6	8	12.9	13.1	-0.23	15.7	14.5	1.18
Steve Nash	85	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-2	0	13.4	10.5	2.91	15.6	14.4	1.23
Leandro Barbosa	71	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	12.5	14.0	-1.55	15.5	15.3	0.18
Jason Richardson	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-2	0	12.7	14.0	-1.30	15.5	15.0	0.54
Shaquille O'Neal	76	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	3	-10	13.2	12.1	1.12	15.6	15.0	0.63

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	50	51	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-8	20	14.5	16.4	-1.85	12.7	13.2	-0.49
Yao Ming	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-4	12	15.3	16.1	-0.82	13.4	10.6	2.76
Aaron Brooks	78	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	1	2	15.9	13.8	2.08	13.7	10.4	3.25
Carl Landry	49	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	1	2	15.8	15.1	0.70	12.7	13.2	-0.41
Shane Battier	74	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	3	-2	15.5	15.2	0.29	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Metta World Peace	71	72	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	7	-10	15.6	15.0	0.67	12.5	14.0	-1.53
Luis Scola	66	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.25	-3	7	-10	15.3	15.7	-0.34	12.6	13.7	-1.08
Von Wafer	30	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	5	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.48	12.7	13.1	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.68,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.68,0.74,1	92.5%
CLE 92, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.55,0.92,1	92.4%
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	92.2%