NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	5.4 [741]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +23.1%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	1.9 [901]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (MIL): -11.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.01	0.07	8	84%	0.14	1	-0.01	9	78%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	23	51%	0.06	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Charlie Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Alexander	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	22	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.03	16	56%	0.01	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.05	0.02	19	69%	0.29	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	4	122%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	18	63%	0.19	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
John Salmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.02	0.05	13	60%	0.11	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	9	46%	0.02	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.0	33.1	15.4	27.6	2.3	29.3	137.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +39.6%

CHI +21.0%

MIL -5.0%

MIL -5.7%

CHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	15.5	101.0	114.7	106.4
season	15.0	14.8		104.9	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		107.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.6	15.3	13.8	15.7	14.6
CHI	14.1	11.4	14.5	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Elson	26	26	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-18	21	13.1	15.1	-1.99	14.7	13.5	1.22
Damon Jones	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	10.3	14.8	-4.49	16.8	13.6	3.20
Joe Alexander	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	10.3	14.8	-4.49	16.8	13.6	3.20
Malik Allen	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-15	15	14.7	14.5	0.17	13.7	13.8	-0.12
Dan Gadzuric	28	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-11	7	13.8	14.8	-1.01	13.7	13.9	-0.12
Luc Mbah a Moute	85	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-12	9	14.4	15.2	-0.83	13.2	16.5	-3.25
Ramon Sessions	73	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-9	3	13.9	16.1	-2.20	14.0	13.4	0.59
Charlie Villanueva	83	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-8	1	14.6	14.3	0.34	14.0	13.1	0.85
Luke Ridnour	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	-3	-9	17.0	13.8	3.20	11.7	14.6	-2.91
Richard Jefferson	89	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-7	-1	14.5	15.1	-0.60	13.7	14.9	-1.22
Keith Bogans	19	20	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-2	-11	16.5	14.1	2.36	15.1	13.5	1.59
Charlie Bell	58	59	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.06	-23	8	-31	15.7	13.0	2.79	14.0	13.6	0.42

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	88	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.02	19	-4	23	13.7	14.6	-0.95	14.9	12.6	2.30
Derrick Rose	86	87	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	2	11	14.0	12.9	1.13	14.6	14.2	0.39
Brad Miller	57	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	5	5	13.8	13.9	-0.08	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Tyrus Thomas	64	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	12	-9	14.5	12.8	1.69	13.6	16.1	-2.44
Kirk Hinrich	44	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	3	9	12.8	14.6	-1.77	15.0	14.2	0.80
John Salmons	84	83	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	10	-5	14.1	12.7	1.34	14.1	16.6	-2.44
Joakim Noah	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	5	5	13.9	13.8	0.10	14.8	14.3	0.52
Tim Thomas	29	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	8	-1	12.4	14.4	-1.97	16.2	13.8	2.39
Aaron Gray	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	19.0	13.7	5.28	10.5	14.6	-4.14
Anthony Roberson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	19.0	13.7	5.28	10.5	14.6	-4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 97, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
PHX 98, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
WAS 84, PHI 100	0.5,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%