NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	73		Excitement	4.4 [934]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.1 [1265]		LVP	Luke Ridnour (MIL): -17.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	86%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	20	63%	0.15	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.03
Malik Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Bell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	12	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.19	-0.03	-0.05	7	0%	-0.11	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	-0.00	-0.01	11	79%	0.20	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	3	33%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	17	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	29.5	15.5	27.3	2.7	26.3	128.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.5%

MIL -0.4%

CLE +6.6%

CLE +16.4%

MIL -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CLE	NBA	MIL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.5	82.0	100.0	106.4
season	15.0	16.9		104.9	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		101.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	17.1	14.2	16.6	16.1
CLE	17.4	14.2	15.8	16.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Allen	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-12	6	18.8	15.2	3.56	16.4	15.7	0.77
Dan Gadzuric	24	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-19	20	15.9	16.2	-0.37	12.5	17.0	-4.50
Damon Jones	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	17.9	15.7	2.15	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Keith Bogans	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	17.9	15.7	2.15	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Charlie Bell	37	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-15	12	16.7	15.8	0.91	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Francisco Elson	28	29	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	-11	4	15.3	16.5	-1.20	19.3	14.3	5.02
Charlie Villanueva	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-9	0	15.4	17.2	-1.79	16.1	15.5	0.56
Ramon Sessions	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-5	-8	15.9	16.7	-0.80	15.3	16.9	-1.61
Luke Ridnour	47	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-10	2	16.1	16.2	-0.13	15.3	16.6	-1.33
Richard Jefferson	72	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-6	-6	15.7	17.9	-2.15	15.9	15.7	0.24
Luc Mbah a Moute	66	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	3	-24	15.8	17.2	-1.39	16.2	14.9	1.32

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	65	64	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	-6	30	15.6	16.6	-1.06	15.8	17.1	-1.30
Delonte West	64	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.25	24	-6	30	15.4	17.0	-1.62	15.8	17.1	-1.32
Anderson Varejao	55	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.25	21	-3	24	15.9	15.8	0.09	15.9	16.5	-0.53
Wally Szczerbiak	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.13	15	3	12	15.0	16.7	-1.61	17.8	14.5	3.30
Mo Williams	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	11	-4	17.0	13.5	3.47	16.4	15.6	0.84
Sasha Pavlovic	27	25	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	9	0	14.1	16.6	-2.43	16.6	16.0	0.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	45	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	16	-14	17.8	13.8	3.95	15.2	17.1	-1.96
JJ Hickson	36	34	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.22	-3	21	-24	15.8	15.9	-0.09	16.5	15.9	0.53
Daniel Gibson	36	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	21	-24	15.8	15.9	-0.09	16.5	15.9	0.56
Darnell Jackson	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	21	-24	15.1	16.0	-0.87	16.2	16.1	0.04
Tarence Kinsey	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	21	-24	13.9	16.0	-2.17	13.1	16.4	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, NJN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,0.99,1	95.4%
GSW 92, ORL 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	95.4%
GSW 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,1	95.4%