NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	5.3 [739]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +15.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	1.1 [1099]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (GSW): -15.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.01	0.05	13	69%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	8	41%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	14	21%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	26	46%	-0.08	3	-0.07	15	60%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	27	65%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	18	55%	0.08	3	-0.03	6	83%	-0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Igor Rakocevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.04	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	30.4	15.7	25.1	1.7	36.2	133.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +39.6%

MIN +2.7%

MIN +6.2%

MIN +0.9%

MIN +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	15.5	99.0	104.8	101.6
season	14.6	14.9		105.3	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.3	13.8	15.9	12.0	14.0
MIN	13.9	13.4	13.5	14.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bob Sura	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-19	31	10.2	15.7	-5.46	15.3	13.2	2.06
Adonal Foyle	42	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.23	3	-10	13	12.9	14.7	-1.77	15.3	12.9	2.37
Earl Boykins	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-7	7	12.3	15.0	-2.72	14.0	13.8	0.13
Erick Dampier	62	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	2	-11	15.1	12.2	2.96	14.3	13.3	0.98
Mike Dunleavy	57	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-8	9	12.3	16.0	-3.62	13.5	14.3	-0.77
Gilbert Arenas	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-7	7	13.6	15.5	-1.93	14.0	13.3	0.68
Antawn Jamison	56	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	7	-21	15.2	12.4	2.85	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Jason Richardson	71	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.01	-13	6	-19	15.1	11.4	3.74	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Troy Murphy	69	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.02	-15	8	-23	15.8	10.2	5.59	13.3	14.9	-1.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Hudson	82	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.28	6	1	5	13.4	15.6	-2.23	13.4	16.1	-2.75
Kevin Garnett	86	85	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	1	5	14.2	12.2	2.00	14.2	12.7	1.56
Wally Szczerbiak	83	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	7	-7	14.1	13.1	0.98	13.4	15.8	-2.37
Kendall Gill	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	6	-5	14.3	12.9	1.40	13.0	15.7	-2.76
Marc Jackson	35	35	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-4	15	12.1	14.8	-2.61	15.1	13.4	1.67
Anthony Peeler	55	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	-4	15	12.7	15.2	-2.47	15.9	11.6	4.37
Rasho Nesterovic	48	49	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	13.9	13.9	0.04	14.6	13.3	1.30
Gary Trent	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	11	-15	16.4	12.9	3.50	12.8	14.4	-1.67
Mike Wilks	24	23	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	7	-7	13.0	14.1	-1.08	13.7	14.0	-0.39
Igor Rakocevic	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	7	-7	17.5	13.6	3.93	12.1	14.1	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 81, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 89, NOH 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
BOS 91, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%