NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	100		Excitement	6.6 [484]		MVP	Raja Bell (CHA): +38.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	4.3 [157]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -13.8%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.39	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.39	0.12	0.26	-0.01	15	70%	0.41	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.2	0.18	0.06	0.04	17	68%	0.23	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	10	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	15	50%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.13	0.20	-0.01	21	63%	0.41	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	81%	0.20	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	17	43%	-0.06	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	0.01	12	58%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.6	29.4	15.7	29.2	2.4	28.4	130.2
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +24.0%

LAC -4.5%

CHA +0.4%

CHA +29.2%

CHA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	17.7	15.8	15.5	117.6	109.2	106.4
season	16.5	15.7		103.0	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		109.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.0	18.0	17.6	19.7	17.7
LAC	13.4	18.0	15.1	17.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	68	69	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-2	9	16.9	20.9	-4.04	14.9	19.3	-4.38
Raymond Felton	44	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-3	11	17.6	17.8	-0.24	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Emeka Okafor	62	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	0	5	17.6	18.0	-0.34	15.5	16.6	-1.17
Boris Diaw	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.32	2	3	-1	18.5	14.4	4.03	15.9	15.3	0.63
Raja Bell	66	67	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	5	-5	18.2	15.9	2.33	15.7	16.0	-0.32
D.J. Augustin	47	49	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	5	-5	17.4	18.1	-0.72	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Vladimir Radmanovic	33	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	17.8	17.7	0.13	17.3	14.8	2.57
Cartier Martin	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	3	-1	16.6	17.9	-1.29	17.4	15.5	1.86
DeSagana Diop	23	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	5	-5	18.0	17.6	0.34	16.6	15.5	1.17

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Novak	29	28	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-7	9	17.2	15.1	2.05	17.6	17.8	-0.15
Alex Acker	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	16.4	15.6	0.79	16.8	18.0	-1.22
Ricky Davis	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-3	1	15.1	16.7	-1.61	17.4	18.2	-0.80
Zach Randolph	68	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.39	7	-12	19	15.6	16.7	-1.13	18.1	16.4	1.65
Mike Taylor	47	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.0	16.7	-1.75	17.3	18.1	-0.79
Brian Skinner	18	19	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	7	-19	17.3	15.4	1.86	16.4	18.1	-1.65
Baron Davis	61	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	0	-5	16.8	13.6	3.18	18.6	15.6	3.01
Marcus Camby	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.8	15.8	0.01	17.9	17.2	0.64
Al Thornton	77	74	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.41	-8	3	-11	15.2	20.7	-5.53	17.6	18.5	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.07,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 101, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.27,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.02,0,0	92.7%
CHI 100, LAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.04,0.02,0,0	92.3%
GSW 97, NOP 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.27,0.17,0.14,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	92.3%