NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	129		Excitement	8.0 [228]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): +30.3%
Golden State Warriors	121		Comeback	6.2 [316]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -17.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.10	0.20	-0.00	12	71%	0.32	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.02	0.15	0.00	15	58%	0.25	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.00
Josh Powell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	6	89%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.04	-0.01	15	71%	0.25	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.01	0.06	22	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	12	83%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	16	67%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.02	7	87%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	2	150%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	10	79%	0.13	4	-0.08	9	89%	-0.02
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermareo Davidson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.16,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	24	48%	0.14	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.02	18	41%	-0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.7	28.5	19.4	29.8	2.7	35.7	146.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +11.2%

LAL +17.7%

LAL +17.4%

LAL +1.3%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.5	129.0	121.0	106.4
season	14.9	13.8		110.6	107.3
opponent	15.0	15.4		111.2	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	15.1	14.1	14.2	14.6
GSW	13.9	14.9	14.2	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	58	59	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.33	17	-9	26	14.3	14.9	-0.57	14.2	14.3	-0.03
Derek Fisher	63	62	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-3	14	14.9	14.0	0.83	15.0	13.1	1.89
Kobe Bryant	73	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-4	16	14.6	14.4	0.20	14.7	12.9	1.79
Pau Gasol	90	88	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.18	5	3	2	14.7	12.8	1.94	14.6	11.7	2.84
Trevor Ariza	61	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.41	-5	13	-18	14.4	14.8	-0.36	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Luke Walton	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	0	8	15.1	14.2	0.93	15.0	13.8	1.25
Sasha Vujacic	29	27	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	14.0	14.8	-0.82	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Jordan Farmar	37	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	11	-14	14.0	14.9	-0.83	13.1	15.0	-1.89
Josh Powell	52	52	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	11	-14	14.5	14.6	-0.14	13.9	14.6	-0.76

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	60	59	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.04	10	-18	28	13.7	15.1	-1.42	14.5	14.7	-0.18
CJ Watson	5	5	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.02	6	-14	20	16.4	14.1	2.26	15.6	14.5	1.11
Marco Belinelli	33	36	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-8	8	13.4	14.7	-1.28	13.4	15.2	-1.86
Jermareo Davidson	1	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-6	4	24.0	14.2	9.85	8.0	14.7	-6.68
Jamal Crawford	77	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	14.2	14.5	-0.30	14.7	14.2	0.41
Ronny Turiaf	66	66	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.32	-9	1	-10	14.9	13.0	1.85	15.4	12.9	2.57
Stephen Jackson	96	96	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	1	-10	14.1	17.0	-2.86	14.4	17.5	-3.07
Monta Ellis	95	95	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.24	-14	6	-20	14.1	16.4	-2.26	14.5	15.6	-1.11
Corey Maggette	67	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.22	-17	9	-26	14.7	13.4	1.23	14.7	14.4	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.37,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, IND 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.61,0.45,0.37,0.01,0,0	91.9%
SAS 96, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.61,0.45,0.24,0.1,0	91.2%
SAC 101, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.48,0.15,0.27,0	91.1%