NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	2.7 [1223]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +21.2%
New Orleans Hornets	117		Comeback	1.0 [846]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): -8.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	52%	0.05	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	15	53%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.01	0.01	22	69%	0.23	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Marks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	13	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	92%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	3.5	26.6	19.4	33.5	3.6	29.2	147.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +35.1%

ORL -5.1%

NOH +6.0%

NOH +11.3%

NOH +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NOH	NBA	ORL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.7	15.9	15.5	92.4	130.0	106.4
season	15.3	16.6		107.3	105.9
opponent	15.6	15.8		106.0	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.5	13.1	15.9	16.7	15.7
NOH	15.3	16.3	16.1	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-29	26	16.1	15.7	0.42	16.3	15.9	0.46
Jeremy Richardson	17	17	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-27	22	15.5	15.8	-0.30	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Marcin Gortat	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.09	-5	-27	22	14.2	16.5	-2.35	16.1	15.8	0.25
JJ Redick	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-27	22	15.0	16.9	-1.85	16.1	15.6	0.53
Tony Battie	24	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.23	-12	-20	8	16.9	15.3	1.57	16.4	15.8	0.67
Tyronn Lue	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	-19	6	16.8	15.1	1.70	16.2	15.8	0.44
Anthony Johnson	32	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-21	10	15.6	15.8	-0.14	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Courtney Lee	37	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.41	-24	-8	-16	15.6	15.8	-0.25	16.1	15.8	0.30
Hedo Turkoglu	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-18	4	15.0	17.1	-2.09	15.8	16.2	-0.45
Mickael Pietrus	38	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.33	-24	-8	-16	17.3	14.6	2.68	16.2	15.8	0.44
Rashard Lewis	61	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-12	-8	15.6	15.9	-0.28	15.8	16.3	-0.50
Dwight Howard	56	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.26	-24	-8	-16	16.1	15.1	1.00	15.7	16.2	-0.53

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.28	26	6	20	16.1	15.6	0.46	16.4	14.5	1.93
Chris Paul	62	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.41	29	3	26	15.4	17.1	-1.65	15.9	15.3	0.57
Peja Stojakovic	58	58	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.14	19	13	6	15.5	16.7	-1.17	15.5	16.1	-0.63
Rasual Butler	64	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.27	23	9	14	16.1	15.5	0.61	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Hilton Armstrong	24	25	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	16	0	15.9	16.0	-0.08	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Sean Marks	28	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	24	-16	16.7	15.6	1.08	15.6	15.8	-0.16
James Posey	35	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	23	-14	17.2	15.1	2.07	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Antonio Daniels	34	34	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.18	8	24	-16	16.7	15.5	1.19	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Melvin Ely	37	37	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.33	12	20	-8	15.2	16.4	-1.17	16.1	15.5	0.61
Devin Brown	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	27	-22	15.6	16.0	-0.35	15.5	15.8	-0.30
Julian Wright	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	32	-32	15.6	16.0	-0.38	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Ryan Bowen	25	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.17	5	27	-22	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.3	15.9	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ATL 89, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIL 78, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.84,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%