inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 99 Excitement4.6 [916] MVPJ.R. Smith (DEN): +13.6%
Miami Heat 82 Comeback1.1 [769] LVPDaequan Cook (MIA): -13.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
J.R. Smith0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.06-0.02762%0.1400.002100%0.01
Kenyon Martin0.120,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.01-0.011464%0.1200.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.110.030.071768%0.122-0.0500%0.00
Chris Andersen0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.003100%0.081-0.021100%0.00
Anthony Carter0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00667%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Nene0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.013100%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.041546%0.064-0.081182%0.03
Linas Kleiza-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.00-0.021118%-0.081-0.0300%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.030.003100%0.1200.002100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.04-0.033100%0.092-0.0100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.03-0.002259%0.135-0.101267%-0.03
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.011354%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.010.03935%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.01-0.011242%0.024-0.0900%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.0010%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Daequan Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.13-0.02-0.02922%-0.073-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.432.516.424.42.628.3135.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +22.9%
DEN +6.7%
DEN +2.2%
DEN +18.8%
MIA -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMIANBADENMIANBA
this game16.815.215.5110.091.1106.4
season14.416.0109.5105.9
opponent15.715.7105.7105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.514.819.719.116.8
MIA16.114.014.616.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups75750.54-0.040.58-0.1022-52716.617.8-1.1615.314.31.08
Kenyon Martin72710.54-0.040.58-0.1925-83316.219.4-3.1914.517.5-2.99
Anthony Carter54520.53-0.030.56-0.0319-22117.216.30.8316.113.92.20
Carmelo Anthony63620.300.200.11-0.08134917.315.71.6714.117.5-3.44
Nene43440.290.210.08-0.09134917.915.92.0616.314.12.25
Chris Andersen27270.250.250.01-0.07116514.018.0-3.9915.015.3-0.29
J.R. Smith34370.180.32-0.140.12215-1316.716.9-0.1615.614.90.68
Linas Kleiza49490.020.48-0.450.32-1027-3717.316.31.0415.514.80.75
Johan Petro330.000.50-0.500.03-118-1916.716.8-0.1715.015.2-0.17
Dahntay Jones3030-0.160.66-0.820.10-926-3517.516.51.0514.315.6-1.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Yakhouba Diawara330.00-0.500.50-0.031-181915.015.2-0.1716.716.8-0.17
Jamaal Magloire1110-0.05-0.450.410.04-3-141116.714.91.7816.416.9-0.49
James Jones1414-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-141114.915.2-0.3715.417.1-1.66
Michael Beasley2324-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-171715.914.91.0016.417.0-0.63
Chris Quinn1818-0.22-0.280.07-0.10-4-13918.814.34.5117.616.70.90
Mario Chalmers6968-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-5-714.916.2-1.3417.115.91.28
Daequan Cook3939-0.28-0.22-0.070.10-13-4-916.214.41.8816.617.0-0.48
Joel Anthony6668-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-5-12714.816.3-1.5316.617.5-0.94
Dwyane Wade7575-0.36-0.14-0.220.02-13-4-914.220.0-5.8017.215.21.96
Udonis Haslem6363-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-16-1-1515.215.2-0.0317.116.11.03
Shawn Marion6968-0.38-0.12-0.260.12-170-1715.015.9-0.9016.617.6-1.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.23,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 90, MEM 770.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,094.6%
OKC 109, POR 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.6%
DAL 107, ORL 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.31,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,094.2%