inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 115 Excitement5.0 [819] MVPDerek Fisher (LAL): +15.2%
Memphis Grizzlies 98 Comeback4.2 [732] LVPDarrell Arthur (MEM): -13.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derek Fisher0.150,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.140.050.047100%0.1500.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol0.120,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.02-0.011471%0.213-0.096100%0.03
Lamar Odom0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.00681%0.153-0.08475%-0.00
Sasha Vujacic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.01-0.00558%0.0500.002100%0.01
Andrew Bynum0.040,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02378%0.0400.003100%0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.000.042053%0.041-0.03771%-0.01
Chris Mihm-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.110.00-0.09520%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Farmar-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01433%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.020.021052%-0.012-0.031100%0.00
Luke Walton-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00543%-0.031-0.02450%-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.030.001278%0.203-0.073100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.01676%0.062-0.00560%-0.01
Mike Conley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01965%0.083-0.0620%-0.04
Quinton Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Rudy Gay0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.040.011856%0.053-0.06580%0.02
Marko Jaric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.001050%0.033-0.06250%-0.01
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Darius Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.02-0.0210%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.10-0.05-0.021146%-0.015-0.12250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.93.228.616.529.32.629.4137.6
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +22.4%
LAL +10.5%
LAL +4.8%
LAL +14.6%
MEM -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALMEMNBALALMEMNBA
this game14.615.715.5121.1103.2106.4
season14.916.1110.6101.7
opponent15.315.4107.6102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL13.913.313.518.114.6
MEM14.314.918.615.415.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lamar Odom59610.54-0.040.590.131431114.315.1-0.7715.915.40.51
Pau Gasol78760.480.020.45-0.0819-22114.017.1-3.0215.616.2-0.53
Kobe Bryant70670.310.190.12-0.01116514.215.6-1.4416.414.12.26
Trevor Ariza48500.280.220.07-0.07125715.613.62.0314.816.8-1.98
Derek Fisher64640.270.230.040.0098114.415.0-0.6216.114.91.19
Jordan Farmar31310.230.27-0.04-0.0089-115.014.40.6214.916.1-1.19
Luke Walton47450.220.28-0.070.07512-713.615.6-2.0316.814.81.98
Sasha Vujacic25280.190.31-0.120.01611-515.614.21.4414.116.4-2.26
Andrew Bynum11110.050.45-0.41-0.01215-1313.014.8-1.7915.815.70.09
Chris Mihm17190.020.48-0.450.08-219-2117.114.03.0216.215.60.53
Vladimir Radmanovic2523-0.090.59-0.68-0.12116-1516.014.11.8715.215.9-0.69

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol53550.05-0.550.600.021-181915.316.3-1.0315.113.81.26
Marko Jaric12-0.06-0.440.37-0.00-2-151332.015.616.444.514.8-10.30
Kyle Lowry2928-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-10313.716.7-3.0014.914.40.50
Rudy Gay7776-0.22-0.280.05-0.08-5-12715.516.7-1.2214.813.61.18
Quinton Ross3736-0.27-0.23-0.030.11-13-4-915.416.0-0.5915.314.21.13
Hakim Warrick4240-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.04-8-9115.815.70.1715.114.20.90
Mike Conley6667-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-7-316.713.73.0014.414.9-0.50
Darius Miles3534-0.38-0.12-0.270.03-14-3-1115.615.8-0.1713.915.0-1.13
Darrell Arthur6061-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.00-13-4-916.115.11.0814.215.3-1.16
O.J. Mayo7576-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.04-14-3-1115.915.00.9314.315.8-1.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 110, IND 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.3%
MIN 113, LAL 960.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.7%
PHX 112, HOU 1050.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,093.5%