NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	112		Excitement	5.4 [583]		MVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): +16.7%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	2.3 [253]		LVP	Courtney Lee (HOU): -13.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.14	0.05	0.02	12	70%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.03	15	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	86%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Markieff Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	54%	0.04	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Grant Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	7	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.02	0.06	8	72%	0.08	5	-0.15	9	100%	0.03

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	5	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	16	51%	0.05	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	0.07	9	76%	0.08	4	-0.10	11	100%	0.04
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	16	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	12	33%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.0	32.2	18.7	28.0	1.8	46.3	155.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +48.5%

HOU -1.7%

HOU -2.5%

HOU -1.0%

PHX +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	15.6	108.7	105.0	102.8
season	15.0	15.4		104.7	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.2	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.6	15.0	13.5	17.1	14.8
HOU	13.6	15.0	16.5	9.6	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	60	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-8	23	13.6	16.6	-3.01	15.7	10.7	5.01
Steve Nash	74	72	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	0	7	14.0	17.0	-3.03	13.9	12.7	1.18
Marcin Gortat	76	73	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	4	-1	14.4	16.1	-1.74	14.3	11.4	2.86
Shannon Brown	58	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	0	7	14.4	15.3	-0.90	14.9	11.9	3.02
Grant Hill	58	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	7	-7	15.0	14.6	0.40	11.7	16.0	-4.33
Michael Redd	40	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	6	-5	16.7	13.6	3.07	12.8	14.0	-1.19
Jared Dudley	58	55	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	14.1	15.8	-1.77	13.5	13.5	0.03
Robin Lopez	25	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	3	1	17.1	14.1	3.03	11.7	14.1	-2.41
Sebastian Telfair	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	7	-7	16.1	14.3	1.87	12.4	14.0	-1.66
Markieff Morris	35	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	12	-17	16.5	14.0	2.52	11.7	14.5	-2.79

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-2	-3	14.1	13.5	0.63	16.0	14.7	1.32
Luis Scola	62	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	13.5	13.6	-0.04	15.3	14.1	1.18
Chase Budinger	65	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-10	13	12.1	16.2	-4.15	15.6	13.3	2.34
Patrick Patterson	34	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	4	-15	13.1	13.8	-0.67	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Marcus Camby	63	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	15.1	10.8	4.32	13.7	16.8	-3.07
Kyle Lowry	54	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.91	14.5	15.2	-0.76
Goran Dragic	73	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-4	1	13.4	13.8	-0.34	15.4	13.2	2.17
Courtney Lee	71	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	14.1	12.1	2.06	13.8	17.3	-3.51
Chandler Parsons	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	13.4	13.8	-0.42	15.5	13.5	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, NYK 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.8%
SAC 110, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
UTA 102, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%